Is Tumblong, NSW Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment
Climate Safety Score
5.5/10Moderate climate risk — address-specific
Key Facts
- Climate Safety
- Medium
- Flood
- Tumblong faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and historical flood events. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood conditions.
- Bushfire
- Tumblong has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate the risk, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
- Heat
- Tumblong experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures. Climate change is expected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves, impacting vulnerable populations.
- Storm
- Moderate storm risk — East Coast Lows bring severe weather including hail and damaging winds
- Postcode
- 2729
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 18.5% of land (bushfire)
Climate Safety Analysis
Tumblong in New South Wales has an overall climate safety rating of Medium. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.
Key factors affecting Tumblong's climate safety include flood, bushfire. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.
Climate safety for property in Tumblong is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.
For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Tumblong including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.
Tumblong (postcode 2729) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (18.5% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (12.4% of land in high-risk zones), extreme wind (5.4% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Tumblong — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
Significant flooding impacted the region, causing road closures and property damage in Tumblong.
A severe bushfire threatened the outskirts of Tumblong, requiring residents to evacuate.
A prolonged heatwave resulted in record-breaking temperatures and increased demand for emergency services.
Heavy rainfall caused Tumblong Creek to flood, inundating low-lying areas and disrupting traffic.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in drainage infrastructure upgrades and construct flood levees to protect properties from inundation.
Est. cost: Medium
Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement vegetation management programs, conduct community education campaigns, and establish firebreaks to reduce bushfire risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Heatwave Management Plan
Near-termDevelop a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations, including establishing cooling centers and providing public health advice.
Est. cost: Low
Community Awareness Programs
Long-termConduct community workshops and distribute educational materials to raise awareness about climate change risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Tumblong Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Tumblong:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Tumblong safe from climate change?
No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Tumblong has an overall Medium climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.
Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Tumblong?
The dominant hazard for Tumblong depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.
How does Tumblong compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?
Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across New South Wales suburbs.
Should I be concerned about buying property in Tumblong?
Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.
What climate projections should I know for Tumblong?
Key projections for New South Wales from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Tumblong.
What share of Tumblong is exposed to high bushfire risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 18.5% of Tumblong in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 65.6% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Tumblong Safe from Climate Risk?
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Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections