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Climate Risk in Holtze, NT

Holtze, Northern Territory· 0829
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Holtze faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Holtze

increasing

Flood

60/100

Holtze faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing waterways. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

Holtze has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and dry vegetation. Hot, dry conditions during the dry season exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

50/100

Holtze experiences high temperatures, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Holtze is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.

increasing

Wind

42/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone winds

increasing

Storm

42/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and monsoonal storms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — remote communities

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — year-round cooling

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Holtze

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Holtze experiences high temperatures, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Holtze faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing waterways. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Holtze is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

Holtze has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and dry vegetation. Hot, dry conditions during the dry season exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the increasing risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area overlays.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand policy coverage.
  • 4.Develop a bushfire survival plan.
  • 5.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Elizabeth River
Elevation Range
20-30 meters
Flood Zone
Low-lying areas near the Elizabeth River

Historical flood events have impacted properties near the Elizabeth River. Drainage improvements are ongoing.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to extensive bushland areas
Planning Overlay
Bushfire prone area overlay applies
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents are advised to maintain firebreaks and clear vegetation around their homes.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
15 days

The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase significantly.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
20 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2012
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Holtze.

Source
2018
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Holtze threatened properties, requiring fire crews to protect homes.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Record-breaking temperatures during a heatwave put strain on infrastructure and caused health concerns.

Source
2023
floodMinor

Minor flooding occurred due to heavy rainfall, impacting some residential areas.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday2030205020302050
flood606.3(+0.3)6.5(+0.5)6.6(+0.6)7.2(+1.2)
bushfire707.2(+0.2)7.4(+0.4)7.5(+0.5)8.0(+1.0)
heat505.1(+0.1)5.3(+0.3)5.4(+0.4)5.8(+0.8)
coastal101.01.01.01.0

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Holtze is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and bushfire risk.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade and maintain drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Strategies

Immediate

Conduct regular fuel reduction burns and maintain firebreaks to reduce the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Response Plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide public education on how to stay safe during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during dry periods.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Run workshops and distribute information on preparing for climate-related disasters.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Holtze's Climate Risk Profile

Holtze, located in the Northern Territory, is susceptible to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to heavy rainfall, bushfires during the dry season, and increasing heatwave frequency and intensity.

The risk of flooding is driven by intense rainfall events that can overwhelm local drainage systems. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk by increasing rainfall intensity. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and take necessary precautions.

Bushfire risk is high due to the suburb's proximity to bushland and the prevalence of dry vegetation. Hot, dry conditions during the dry season create ideal conditions for bushfires. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards and have a bushfire survival plan.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. High temperatures can pose a health risk, particularly to vulnerable populations. Residents should stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on neighbors during heatwaves.

While coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and infrastructure, could still affect Holtze.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NT Emergency Services · Litchfield Council

Local Government Resources

Litchfield Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Holtze?

The main climate change risks in Holtze are increased flooding, more frequent and intense bushfires, and more severe heatwaves.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?

You can prepare your home for a bushfire by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining firebreaks, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, you should stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on neighbors, especially the elderly and vulnerable.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Holtze?

You can find information about flood risks in Holtze on the Northern Territory Government's website and through Litchfield Council.

Is my property in a bushfire prone area?

You can check if your property is in a bushfire prone area by contacting the Northern Territory Fire and Rescue Service or Litchfield Council.

What is Litchfield Council doing to address climate change?

Litchfield Council is developing and implementing strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. Check their website for details.

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