Climate Risk Profile: Kalano, NT

Kalano, Northern Territory

Medium Risk

Updated Apr 2026

Kalano faces a range of climate-related risks, including flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change, requiring proactive adaptation measures.

Overall Risk Score

55/100

Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood

6.0

Bushfire

4.0

Heat

7.0

Coastal

5.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Kalano

increasing

Flood

60/100

Kalano faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine overflow. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Sea level rise

increasing

Bushfire

40/100

Kalano has a relatively low bushfire risk due to the surrounding landscape and vegetation. However, dry conditions and increased temperatures can elevate the risk during the dry season.

Key drivers:

·Increased temperatures
·Prolonged dry periods

increasing

Heat

70/100

Kalano experiences high temperatures, particularly during the summer months, posing a significant heat stress risk to vulnerable populations. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

·Rising average temperatures
·Increased frequency of heatwaves

increasing

Coastal

50/100

Kalano faces a moderate coastal risk due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges pose threats to infrastructure and coastal ecosystems.

Key drivers:

·Sea level rise
·Increased storm intensity

increasing

Wind

42/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone winds

increasing

Storm

42/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and monsoonal storms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — remote communities

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — year-round cooling

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Kalano

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Kalano experiences high temperatures, particularly during the summer months, posing a significant heat stress risk to vulnerable populations. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

·Rising average temperatures
·Increased frequency of heatwaves
·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Kalano faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine overflow. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Sea level rise
·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

50/100

Kalano faces a moderate coastal risk due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges pose threats to infrastructure and coastal ecosystems.

Primary Drivers

·Sea level rise
·Increased storm intensity
·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Kalano has a relatively low bushfire risk due to the surrounding landscape and vegetation. However, dry conditions and increased temperatures can elevate the risk during the dry season.

Primary Drivers

·Increased temperatures
·Prolonged dry periods
·Vegetation dryness

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the increasing frequency and severity of climate-related events.

Price Impact

Properties in areas at high risk of flooding or coastal inundation may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
2.Assess the property's vulnerability to bushfires.
3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise.
4.Evaluate the property's energy efficiency and cooling needs.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway: Unnamed Creek
Elevation Range: 5-15m
Flood Zone: Low to Moderate

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland: Adjacent
Planning Overlay: https://pfes.nt.gov.au/bushfires
Bushfire Prone Area: Yes

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp: 32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year: 15 days

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast: 5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure: Moderate
Erosion Risk: Low

Historical Climate Events

2012

floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Kalano, disrupting traffic and damaging property.

Source

2018

heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions for heat-related illnesses.

Source

2020

floodMajor

Widespread flooding occurred after a period of intense rainfall, leading to evacuations and significant property damage.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

Hazard	Today	2030	2050
flood	60	6.5(+0.5)	7.0(+1.0)
bushfire	40	4.3(+0.3)	4.6(+0.6)
heat	70	7.7(+0.7)	8.2(+1.2)
coastal	50	5.4(+0.4)	5.8(+0.8)

By 2030, Kalano is projected to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, particularly heatwaves and flooding. Sea level rise will also pose a growing threat to coastal areas.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to better manage stormwater runoff and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Strategies

Near-term

Conduct regular fuel reduction burns and maintain firebreaks to reduce the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop a Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect Coastal Areas

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures such as seawalls and dune restoration to reduce the impact of sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Kalano's Climate Risk Profile

Kalano, located in the Northern Territory, is susceptible to several climate-related hazards. The primary risks include flooding from heavy rainfall and riverine overflow, particularly during the monsoon season. Bushfire risk is present, especially during the dry season when vegetation becomes highly flammable.

Heatwaves pose a significant threat to the community, with high temperatures and humidity levels increasing the risk of heat stress and related health issues. The suburb's proximity to the coast also exposes it to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surges, which can lead to erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.

Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades. Increased rainfall intensity will likely lead to more frequent and severe flooding events. Higher temperatures and prolonged dry periods will increase the likelihood of bushfires. Sea level rise will further increase the vulnerability of coastal areas to erosion and inundation.

Addressing these climate risks requires a comprehensive approach that includes mitigation measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, as well as adaptation strategies to build resilience to the impacts of climate change. This includes investing in infrastructure improvements, implementing land-use planning policies that minimize exposure to hazards, and raising community awareness about climate risks and adaptation options.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NT Emergency Services

Local Government Resources

Northern Territory Government

Climate Strategy Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks facing Kalano?

Kalano faces several climate change risks, including increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and rising sea levels.

How will climate change affect property values in Kalano?

Properties in areas at high risk of flooding or coastal inundation may experience a decrease in value due to climate change.

What is the local government doing to address climate change in Kalano?

The Northern Territory Government is implementing a range of measures to address climate change, including developing a climate strategy and investing in infrastructure improvements.

How can I prepare my home for extreme weather events in Kalano?

You can prepare your home by installing flood barriers, clearing vegetation around your property, and ensuring your home is well-insulated.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Kalano?

You can find more information about climate change risks on the Northern Territory Government's website and the Bureau of Meteorology's website.

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