Climate Risk in Mamarlawoa, Northern Territory

Mamarlawoa, Northern Territory
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Mamarlawoa faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to heat and flooding. Future climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, requiring proactive adaptation measures.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
4.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mamarlawoa

increasing

Flood

60/100

Flooding is a moderate concern in Mamarlawoa, with potential for riverine and flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
stable

Bushfire

40/100

Bushfire risk is present in Mamarlawoa, particularly in areas adjacent to bushland. The risk is influenced by dry conditions and vegetation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Ignition sources
increasing

Heat

70/100

Mamarlawoa experiences high temperatures, especially during the summer months, leading to potential heat stress for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
increasing

Coastal

40/100

Coastal risks are relatively low in Mamarlawoa, but sea level rise and storm surges could pose a threat in the long term.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
increasing

Wind

42/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone winds

increasing

Storm

42/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and monsoonal storms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — remote communities

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — year-round cooling

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mamarlawoa

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Mamarlawoa experiences high temperatures, especially during the summer months, leading to potential heat stress for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Flooding is a moderate concern in Mamarlawoa, with potential for riverine and flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

40/100

Coastal risks are relatively low in Mamarlawoa, but sea level rise and storm surges could pose a threat in the long term.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.3

2050

4.7

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Bushfire risk is present in Mamarlawoa, particularly in areas adjacent to bushland. The risk is influenced by dry conditions and vegetation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Ignition sources

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

4.2

2050

4.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by climate risks in the long term.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heat
  • 3.Consider long-term climate risks
  • 4.Review insurance options

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local creeks and rivers
Elevation Range
Low-lying areas
Flood Zone
Areas near waterways

Local knowledge of flood history is important.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland areas
Planning Overlay
Check with NT Fire and Rescue Service
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Maintain fire breaks and clear vegetation around properties.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
35°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Stay hydrated and avoid strenuous activity during peak heat hours.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2012
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in Mamarlawoa.

Source
2018
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions affected the region.

Source
2020
bushfireMinor

Bushfires occurred near Mamarlawoa, but did not directly impact the suburb.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.3(+0.3)6.6(+0.6)
bushfire404.1(+0.1)4.3(+0.3)
heat707.6(+0.6)8.0(+1.0)
coastal404.1(+0.1)4.2(+0.2)

By 2030, Mamarlawoa is projected to experience increased heat and flood risk under a high emissions scenario.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve building design for heat resilience

Near-term

Incorporate passive cooling techniques and energy-efficient air conditioning.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance flood preparedness

Near-term

Develop community flood plans and improve drainage infrastructure.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement early warning systems for heatwaves

Immediate

Provide timely alerts and support for vulnerable populations.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect and restore coastal ecosystems

Long-term

Conserve mangroves and other natural barriers to reduce coastal erosion.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Mamarlawoa's Climate Risk Profile

Mamarlawoa, located in the Northern Territory, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are increasing temperatures and the potential for flooding during the wet season. These risks are projected to intensify in the coming decades due to climate change.

Rising temperatures pose a significant threat to the health and well-being of the community, particularly vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Increased frequency and intensity of heatwaves can lead to heat stress and other heat-related illnesses.

Flooding is another major concern, with the potential for both riverine and flash flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. Changes in land use and development patterns can exacerbate flood risk by increasing runoff and reducing natural drainage.

While coastal risks are relatively low, sea level rise and storm surges could pose a threat in the long term, particularly to low-lying areas. It is important to monitor these risks and implement appropriate adaptation measures to protect coastal communities and infrastructure.

Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort involving government, businesses, and the community. Adaptation measures such as improving building design, enhancing emergency preparedness, and investing in green infrastructure can help to reduce the impacts of climate change and build a more resilient community.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NT Fire and Rescue Service · NT Department of Environment and Natural Resources

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Mamarlawoa?

The main climate risks are increasing temperatures, flooding, and bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Mamarlawoa?

Property values may be affected by climate risks in the long term, particularly in areas prone to flooding or bushfires.

What can I do to protect my home from flooding?

Consider installing flood barriers, improving drainage, and elevating electrical systems.

How can I prepare for a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity during peak heat hours, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find more information about climate change in the Northern Territory?

Visit the Northern Territory Government's Department of Environment and Natural Resources website.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections