Climate Risk Profile: Peko, NT

Peko, Northern Territory

Medium Risk

Updated Mar 2026

Peko faces moderate climate risks, primarily from bushfires, heatwaves and flooding. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100

Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood

4.5

Bushfire

6.0

Heat

5.0

Coastal

1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Peko

increasing

Flood

45/100

Peko faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Changes in river flow patterns

increasing

Bushfire

60/100

The bushfire risk in Peko is relatively high due to the surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

·Increased temperatures
·Drier vegetation

increasing

Heat

50/100

Peko experiences high temperatures, and the risk of heatwaves is increasing. This poses a threat to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

·Rising average temperatures
·More frequent heatwaves

stable

Coastal

10/100

Peko is not located near the coast, so the risk from coastal hazards is minimal.

increasing

Wind

42/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone winds

increasing

Storm

42/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and monsoonal storms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — remote communities

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — year-round cooling

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Peko

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Peko experiences high temperatures, and the risk of heatwaves is increasing. This poses a threat to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

·Rising average temperatures
·More frequent heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

45/100

Peko faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Changes in river flow patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Peko is not located near the coast, so the risk from coastal hazards is minimal.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

The bushfire risk in Peko is relatively high due to the surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

·Increased temperatures
·Drier vegetation
·More frequent heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the increasing risk of extreme weather events.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by the increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

1.Check flood maps and insurance options.
2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare a bushfire survival plan.
3.Consider energy efficiency measures to reduce heat stress.
4.Understand the potential impacts of climate change on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway: Local creeks and drainage systems
Elevation Range: Relatively flat terrain
Flood Zone: Areas near creeks are susceptible to flooding

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland: Surrounded by native vegetation
Planning Overlay: Refer to NT Fire and Rescue Service for bushfire prone area maps
Bushfire Prone Area: Yes

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp: 38°C
Heat Stress Days/Year: 5 days

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast: 1000 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure: Not applicable
Erosion Risk: Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2012

floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in Peko, affecting some residential areas.

Source

2019

heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected Peko, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days.

Source

2022

bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Peko threatened some properties, but was brought under control by fire crews.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

Hazard	Today	2030	2050
flood	45	4.8(+0.3)	5.0(+0.5)
bushfire	60	6.4(+0.4)	6.8(+0.8)
heat	50	5.6(+0.6)	6.2(+1.2)
coastal	10	1.0	1.0

By 2030, Peko is projected to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves and bushfires. Rainfall patterns may also become more erratic, leading to an increased risk of flooding.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Implement strategies to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve bushfire preparedness

Near-term

Implement measures to reduce the risk of bushfires, such as clearing vegetation around properties and developing community bushfire survival plans.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Improve drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce the strain on water resources during periods of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Peko's Climate Risk Profile

Peko, located in the Northern Territory, is vulnerable to several climate-related risks. The primary concerns are increasing temperatures, more frequent heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires due to drier conditions. Flooding is also a concern, particularly during the wet season, and this risk is expected to increase with more intense rainfall events.

The rising temperatures pose a significant threat to the health and well-being of residents, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. Heatwaves are likely to become more frequent and severe, placing additional strain on local resources and infrastructure.

The bushfire risk is also a major concern, as the surrounding vegetation becomes drier and more flammable. This increases the likelihood of bushfires and makes them more difficult to control. Residents need to be prepared for potential evacuations and property damage.

While Peko is not located near the coast, it is still indirectly affected by climate change through changes in weather patterns and increased extreme weather events. Adapting to these changes will require a coordinated effort from local authorities, residents, and businesses.

Mitigation strategies, such as reducing greenhouse gas emissions, are also essential to minimize the long-term impacts of climate change. This includes transitioning to renewable energy sources and promoting sustainable land management practices.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NT Fire and Rescue Service · NT Government

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate Strategy Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Peko?

The main climate change risks for Peko are increasing temperatures, more frequent heatwaves, a higher risk of bushfires, and an increased risk of flooding.

How will climate change affect property values in Peko?

Property values in Peko may be affected by the increasing climate risks, particularly the risk of bushfires and flooding. Insurance premiums may also increase.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Peko?

To prepare for heatwaves in Peko, stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider installing air conditioning or visiting a cooling center.

How can I protect my property from bushfires in Peko?

To protect your property from bushfires in Peko, clear vegetation around your home, have a bushfire survival plan, and ensure that your home is well-maintained.

What is the local council doing to address climate change in Peko?

The local council is developing a climate strategy to address the impacts of climate change in Peko. This includes measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the changing climate.