Climate Risk in Bundaberg South, QLD

Bundaberg South, Queensland
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Bundaberg South faces a medium level of climate risk, primarily driven by flooding and heat. The suburb's proximity to the Burnett River makes it vulnerable to increased rainfall and sea level rise, while rising temperatures contribute to heatwave risks.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
7.5
Bushfire
3.2
Heat
6.5
Coastal
6.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Bundaberg South

increasing

Flood

75/100

Bundaberg South faces a notable risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Burnett River and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise impacting river flow
stable

Bushfire

32/100

The bushfire risk in Bundaberg South is relatively low compared to other regions, but still present due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions can increase the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
increasing

Heat

65/100

Bundaberg South experiences high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
increasing

Coastal

60/100

Bundaberg South is located inland, but is still indirectly affected by coastal hazards. Sea level rise can exacerbate flooding along the Burnett River.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Bundaberg South

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

65/100

Bundaberg South experiences high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

flood Risk

75/100

Bundaberg South faces a notable risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Burnett River and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise impacting river flow
  • ·Urban development reducing natural drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.8

2050

8.2

Data source

coastal Risk

60/100

Bundaberg South is located inland, but is still indirectly affected by coastal hazards. Sea level rise can exacerbate flooding along the Burnett River.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
  • ·Erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.3

2050

6.7

Data source

bushfire Risk

32/100

The bushfire risk in Bundaberg South is relatively low compared to other regions, but still present due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions can increase the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

3.5

2050

3.8

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.

Price Impact

Potential for moderate price impact due to flood risk.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess property's elevation and drainage.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency measures for heat mitigation.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Burnett River
Elevation Range
5-15 meters
Flood Zone
Partial floodplain

Historical flood events have impacted parts of Bundaberg South, particularly areas close to the river.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
1-3 km
Planning Overlay
Some areas with bushfire overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The western edge of the suburb borders some bushland areas, increasing the potential for bushfire risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

The average maximum temperature in January is high, leading to heat stress events during summer.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
15 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Indirectly exposed through riverine flooding
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2013
floodMajor

Severe flooding of the Burnett River caused widespread damage in Bundaberg South and surrounding areas.

Source
2011
floodModerate

Flooding occurred in low-lying areas of Bundaberg South due to heavy rainfall.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected Bundaberg South, with temperatures exceeding 35°C for several days.

Source
2022
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in parts of Bundaberg South, impacting local businesses and residences.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood757.9(+0.4)8.5(+1.0)
bushfire323.3(+0.1)3.5(+0.3)
heat657.0(+0.5)8.0(+1.5)
coastal606.2(+0.2)6.5(+0.5)

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Bundaberg South is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and heat risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in flood barriers and drainage improvements to protect properties from rising floodwaters.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Heatwave Preparedness

Immediate

Develop a community heatwave plan and provide cooling centers for vulnerable residents.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Implement water-saving measures to reduce water stress during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Building Codes

Near-term

Update building codes to ensure new constructions are resilient to flooding and extreme heat.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies through workshops and online resources.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Bundaberg South's Climate Risk Profile

Bundaberg South is a suburb in Queensland that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks are associated with flooding due to its location near the Burnett River, and increasing heatwaves during the summer months. Sea level rise also poses an indirect threat by exacerbating flood risks.

The risk of flooding is expected to increase with more intense rainfall events and rising sea levels. This can lead to damage to property and infrastructure, as well as disruption to daily life. The local council is working on flood mitigation strategies, but further action is needed to protect the community.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a significant health risk, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Residents should take precautions during heatwaves, such as staying hydrated and seeking air-conditioned environments.

While bushfire risk is relatively lower compared to other regions, it is still a concern, particularly during dry periods. Maintaining vegetation around properties and being aware of fire danger ratings are important steps to mitigate this risk.

Adapting to these climate risks will require a combination of individual actions, community initiatives, and government policies. This includes investing in flood protection measures, promoting energy efficiency to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and raising awareness about climate change impacts.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Queensland Government · Bundaberg Regional Council · Queensland Fire and Emergency Services

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Bundaberg South?

The main climate change risks for Bundaberg South are flooding, heatwaves, and the indirect impacts of sea level rise on riverine flooding.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The Bundaberg Regional Council is developing and implementing strategies to mitigate and adapt to climate change, including flood mitigation measures and community awareness programs.

What can I do to protect my property from flooding?

You can protect your property from flooding by installing flood barriers, improving drainage, and ensuring your property is adequately insured.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Bundaberg South?

You can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Bundaberg South?

You can find more information about climate change impacts in Bundaberg South on the Bundaberg Regional Council website, the Queensland Government website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Is it safe to drink tap water after a flood?

It is generally not safe to drink tap water after a flood without boiling it first. Follow the advice of the local council and health authorities.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Bundaberg South, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Bundaberg South's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections