Climate Risk in Burleigh Heads, QLD

Burleigh Heads, Queensland· 4220
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Burleigh Heads faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
6.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Burleigh Heads

increasing

Flood

60/100

Burleigh Heads faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater and riverine flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
stable

Bushfire

30/100

The risk of bushfire in Burleigh Heads is relatively low due to its coastal location and urban development. However, areas near bushland reserves are still susceptible.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

70/100

Burleigh Heads experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to heat stress for vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

60/100

Burleigh Heads is vulnerable to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and erosion. These hazards can impact infrastructure, property, and natural ecosystems.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Burleigh Heads

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Burleigh Heads experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to heat stress for vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Burleigh Heads faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater and riverine flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

60/100

Burleigh Heads is vulnerable to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and erosion. These hazards can impact infrastructure, property, and natural ecosystems.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

30/100

The risk of bushfire in Burleigh Heads is relatively low due to its coastal location and urban development. However, areas near bushland reserves are still susceptible.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in high-risk areas.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of heatwaves on energy costs.
  • 4.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Tallebudgera Creek
Elevation Range
0-20m
Flood Zone
Areas near Tallebudgera Creek are prone to flooding.

Historical flood events have impacted low-lying areas in Burleigh Heads.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Some areas border bushland reserves.
Planning Overlay
Check the QFES website for current bushfire overlays.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Bushfire risk is higher in areas adjacent to bushland.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
29.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves can pose a significant health risk during summer.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas are exposed to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Some beaches are vulnerable to erosion.

Historical Climate Events

2017
stormModerate

Severe storm caused flash flooding and property damage in Burleigh Heads.

Source
2013
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall led to flooding of low-lying areas and road closures.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions resulted in increased hospital admissions.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire303.1(+0.1)3.3(+0.3)
heat707.4(+0.4)7.8(+0.8)
coastal606.2(+0.2)6.7(+0.7)

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Burleigh Heads is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and heatwave risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Heat Action Plans

Immediate

Develop and implement heat action plans to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Defenses

Long-term

Invest in coastal protection measures to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and erosion.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Raise Community Awareness

Near-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Burleigh Heads's Climate Risk Profile

Burleigh Heads, a coastal suburb in Queensland, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from intense rainfall and rising sea levels, heatwaves during the summer months, and coastal erosion.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. This can damage property, disrupt infrastructure, and pose risks to public safety.

Heatwaves are another growing threat, with rising temperatures increasing the risk of heat stress, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban heat island effect can exacerbate these risks in densely built-up areas.

Coastal erosion and sea level rise pose long-term challenges to Burleigh Heads. These hazards can impact beaches, infrastructure, and natural ecosystems, potentially leading to property loss and displacement.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of adaptation and mitigation measures. Adaptation strategies include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing early warning systems, and promoting heat-resilient building designs. Mitigation efforts focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · QFES · City of Gold Coast

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Burleigh Heads?

The main climate change risks in Burleigh Heads are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.

How will sea level rise affect Burleigh Heads?

Sea level rise can lead to increased coastal erosion, inundation of low-lying areas, and damage to infrastructure.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Burleigh Heads?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Burleigh Heads?

You can find flood maps and information on the City of Gold Coast website.

Are there any community initiatives to address climate change in Burleigh Heads?

The City of Gold Coast has various initiatives to address climate change, including renewable energy projects and sustainable transport programs.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections