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Climate Risk in Canungra, Queensland

Canungra, Queensland· Scenic Rim· 4275
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Canungra faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
6.8
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Canungra

increasing

Flood

65/100

Canungra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location near waterways and historical flood events. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
increasing

Bushfire

42/100

Canungra has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and increased temperatures associated with climate change may elevate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

68/100

Canungra is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Rising temperatures pose a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Canungra is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.

increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Canungra

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

68/100

Canungra is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Rising temperatures pose a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.3

2050

7.8

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Canungra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location near waterways and historical flood events. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Canungra is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

Canungra has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and increased temperatures associated with climate change may elevate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Accumulation of dry vegetation

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurers are likely to increase premiums in response to increased flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property value and comfort.
  • 4.Review insurance options and costs.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Canungra Creek
Elevation Range
150-250m
Flood Zone
Medium

Historical flood data indicates that properties near Canungra Creek are most vulnerable.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent
Planning Overlay
https://www.ruralfire.qld.gov.au/
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The western and southern edges of Canungra border significant bushland areas.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Average January maximum temperatures are expected to increase by 1-2 degrees Celsius by 2050.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
70 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
None
Erosion Risk
None

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Significant flooding occurred in Canungra due to heavy rainfall associated with La Niña.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas surrounding Canungra, leading to evacuations and property damage.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

Canungra experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius.

Source
2022
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in Canungra, impacting local businesses and residences.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.9(+0.4)7.3(+0.8)
bushfire424.4(+0.2)4.7(+0.5)
heat687.3(+0.5)8.3(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Canungra is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by increased flood and heatwave risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as improved drainage systems and flood barriers.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire management strategies, including vegetation clearing and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Immediate

Develop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Water Conservation

Long-term

Promote water conservation measures to address potential water scarcity due to climate change.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Canungra's Climate Risk Profile

Canungra, located in the Scenic Rim region of Queensland, is susceptible to several climate-related hazards. The primary concerns are flooding due to its proximity to waterways and the increasing intensity of rainfall events. Climate change projections indicate a higher frequency of extreme rainfall, which could exacerbate flood risks in the coming decades.

Bushfire risk is also a factor, with surrounding bushland posing a threat, especially during dry periods. Rising temperatures and prolonged droughts can create conditions conducive to bushfires, potentially impacting properties and infrastructure.

Heatwaves are another significant concern for Canungra. As global temperatures rise, the region is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions.

While Canungra is located inland, coastal hazards are not a direct threat. However, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, could indirectly affect the region. Residents and businesses should take proactive measures to adapt to these changing conditions and mitigate potential risks.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Queensland Fire and Emergency Services · Scenic Rim Regional Council

Local Government Resources

Scenic Rim Regional Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Canungra?

The main climate change risks for Canungra are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Canungra?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums due to climate risks may also affect property values.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Canungra?

The Scenic Rim Regional Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies, including flood mitigation measures and bushfire management plans.

How can I prepare my home for increased flood risk?

You can prepare your home by elevating appliances, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage around your property. Check the Scenic Rim Regional Council website for more information.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Canungra, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Canungra →

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