Climate Risk in Cleveland, QLD

Cleveland, Queensland· Redland· 4163
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Cleveland is a suburb in Queensland that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
6.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Cleveland

increasing

Flood

60/100

Cleveland faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to Moreton Bay. Heavy rainfall events can lead to stormwater and riverine flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
stable

Bushfire

30/100

The risk of bushfire in Cleveland is relatively low compared to other areas in Queensland, but some areas near bushland reserves are still vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

70/100

Cleveland is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Rising temperatures can lead to heat stress and exacerbate existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

60/100

Cleveland is vulnerable to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surge. Low-lying areas are at risk of inundation, and coastal erosion can damage infrastructure and property.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Cleveland

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Cleveland is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Rising temperatures can lead to heat stress and exacerbate existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Cleveland faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to Moreton Bay. Heavy rainfall events can lead to stormwater and riverine flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

60/100

Cleveland is vulnerable to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surge. Low-lying areas are at risk of inundation, and coastal erosion can damage infrastructure and property.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

30/100

The risk of bushfire in Cleveland is relatively low compared to other areas in Queensland, but some areas near bushland reserves are still vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in areas at high risk of flooding or coastal erosion.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to climate change impacts.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and coastal hazard overlays
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage
  • 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Moreton Bay
Elevation Range
0-20 meters
Flood Zone
Coastal and riverine floodplains

Several areas in Cleveland are prone to flash flooding during heavy rainfall events. The council maintains flood maps and provides guidance on flood preparedness.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves in some areas
Planning Overlay
Bushfire prone area overlay in some areas
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties located near bushland reserves are at a higher risk of bushfire. Residents should maintain their properties and be aware of fire danger ratings.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Cleveland experiences several days of extreme heat each year. Heat stress can be a significant health risk, especially for the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas are exposed to sea level rise
Erosion Risk
Moderate erosion risk along some coastal stretches

Historical Climate Events

2013
floodModerate

Severe flooding occurred in Cleveland due to ex-Tropical Cyclone Oswald, causing damage to homes and businesses.

Source
2022
floodMajor

Major flooding event impacted Cleveland, leading to widespread inundation and evacuations.

Source
2023
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected Cleveland, with temperatures exceeding 35 degrees Celsius for several consecutive days.

Source
2009
stormModerate

Severe thunderstorms caused flash flooding and property damage in parts of Cleveland.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.4(+0.4)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire303.1(+0.1)3.3(+0.3)
heat707.5(+0.5)8.5(+1.5)
coastal606.3(+0.3)7.2(+1.2)

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Cleveland is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk by 2030, with notable increases in flood and heatwave risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater drainage systems to reduce the risk of flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Coastal Protection Measures

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures such as seawalls and beach nourishment to reduce the impact of sea level rise and storm surge.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Heatwave Early Warning System

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Conduct community education programs to raise awareness of climate change risks and promote preparedness for extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Risk Mitigation

Near-term

Implement bushfire risk reduction strategies such as controlled burns and vegetation management in areas near bushland reserves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Cleveland's Climate Risk Profile

Cleveland, located in the Redland City region of Queensland, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's low-lying coastal areas make it susceptible to flooding from both heavy rainfall and rising sea levels. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a significant health risk to vulnerable populations.

The risk of coastal erosion and storm surge is also increasing, threatening infrastructure and property along the coastline. Changes in rainfall patterns and temperature are impacting local ecosystems and agricultural practices.

To mitigate these risks, it is crucial to implement adaptation measures such as improved drainage systems, coastal protection infrastructure, and heatwave early warning systems. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is also essential to slow down the rate of climate change and minimize its long-term impacts.

Residents and businesses in Cleveland should take steps to prepare for extreme weather events, such as developing emergency plans and investing in flood-proofing measures. Collaboration between local government, community organizations, and individuals is essential to build a climate-resilient community.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Queensland Fire and Emergency Services · Redland City Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Cleveland?

The main climate change risks in Cleveland include flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surge.

How is the Redland City Council addressing climate change?

The Redland City Council is implementing various strategies to address climate change, including improving drainage infrastructure, coastal protection measures, and community education programs.

What can I do to prepare for a flood in Cleveland?

To prepare for a flood in Cleveland, you should develop an emergency plan, elevate your belongings, and stay informed about flood warnings.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Cleveland?

To stay safe during a heatwave in Cleveland, you should stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Cleveland?

You can find more information about climate change risks in Cleveland on the Redland City Council website, the Bureau of Meteorology website, and the CSIRO website.

Is my property at risk from sea level rise?

If your property is in a low-lying coastal area, it may be at risk from sea level rise. Check the council's coastal hazard maps for more information.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections