Climate Risk Profile: Coomera, QLD

Coomera, Queensland· City of Gold Coast· 4209
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Coomera faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to increase the severity and frequency of these events, particularly heatwaves and flooding. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather and take steps to adapt to the changing climate.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.5

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Coomera

increasing

Flood

65/100

Coomera faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Coomera River and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development reducing natural drainage
stable

Bushfire

40/100

Bushfire risk in Coomera is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
increasing

Heat

70/100

Coomera experiences a high risk of heatwaves and extreme heat events, particularly during summer. Urban areas can exacerbate the heat island effect.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
increasing

Coastal

55/100

Coomera faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast and tidal waterways. Sea level rise and storm surges can lead to inundation and erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Coomera

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Coomera experiences a high risk of heatwaves and extreme heat events, particularly during summer. Urban areas can exacerbate the heat island effect.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Coomera faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Coomera River and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development reducing natural drainage
  • ·Sea level rise impacting river flow

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

55/100

Coomera faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast and tidal waterways. Sea level rise and storm surges can lead to inundation and erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Erosion of coastal defenses

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.0

2050

6.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Bushfire risk in Coomera is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Human ignition sources

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.2

2050

4.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in areas at higher risk of flooding and other climate-related hazards.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Coomera River
Elevation Range
5-20 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near the Coomera River are designated as flood zones.

Historical flood events have impacted properties along the Coomera River. Council flood maps provide detailed information on flood risk areas.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Some properties border bushland reserves.
Planning Overlay
Qld Fire and Emergency Services Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents in bushfire-prone areas should have a bushfire survival plan and maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase in the future. Vulnerable populations are at higher risk during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas may be exposed to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Some areas are at risk of coastal erosion.

Historical Climate Events

2017
stormModerate

Severe thunderstorms caused flash flooding and property damage in Coomera.

Source
2013
floodModerate

Major flooding along the Coomera River inundated low-lying areas and caused significant disruption.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions led to increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source
2019
bushfireMinor

Bushfires near Coomera caused smoke haze and required firefighting efforts.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire404.2(+0.2)4.5(+0.5)
heat707.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal555.8(+0.3)6.2(+0.7)

By 2030, Coomera is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, increased rainfall intensity, and rising sea levels. These changes will exacerbate existing risks and require adaptation measures.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Develop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen coastal defenses

Long-term

Invest in coastal protection measures such as seawalls and beach nourishment to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and erosion.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Promote bushfire preparedness

Near-term

Educate residents on how to prepare their properties for bushfires and develop a bushfire survival plan.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Plant more trees

Long-term

Increase tree canopy cover to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Coomera's Climate Risk Profile

Coomera, located on the Gold Coast, is susceptible to a range of climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to the Coomera River and coastal areas makes it vulnerable to flooding from heavy rainfall and storm surges. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Bushfire risk is also a concern, especially in areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can create ideal conditions for bushfires to spread rapidly. Residents should maintain their properties and be aware of fire danger ratings.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a significant health risk to vulnerable populations. Urban areas like Coomera experience the urban heat island effect, which can exacerbate heat stress. It's important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on elderly neighbors during heatwaves.

Sea level rise and coastal erosion are also potential threats to Coomera. Low-lying areas may experience increased inundation during high tides and storm surges. Protecting coastal ecosystems and implementing coastal management strategies are crucial for mitigating these risks.

Adapting to climate change requires a multi-faceted approach, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions, investing in infrastructure improvements, and raising community awareness. By taking proactive steps, Coomera can build resilience and protect its residents from the impacts of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Qld Fire and Emergency Services · City of Gold Coast

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Coomera?

Coomera faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and severity of these events.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

Clear gutters and downpipes, raise electrical appliances, and consider installing flood barriers. Check the City of Gold Coast flood maps for detailed information.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on elderly neighbors. Avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.

How can I protect my home from bushfires?

Maintain your property by clearing vegetation and removing flammable materials. Have a bushfire survival plan and be aware of fire danger ratings.

Is my property in a bushfire prone area?

Check the Qld Fire and Emergency Services Bushfire Prone Area Map to determine if your property is at risk.

Where can I find information about emergency services?

Visit the QFES website for information about emergency services and disaster preparedness.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections