Climate Risk Profile: Currumbin, QLD

Currumbin, Queensland· Gold Coast· 4223
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Currumbin is a suburb on the Gold Coast facing increasing climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding from Currumbin Creek, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.5

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Currumbin

increasing

Flood

65/100

Currumbin faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Currumbin Creek and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to creek overflows and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

Bushfire risk in Currumbin is moderate, particularly in areas bordering bushland reserves. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Currumbin experiences a high risk of heatwaves and extreme heat events. Rising temperatures pose a threat to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

55/100

Currumbin faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and erosion. Coastal inundation can impact low-lying areas and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Currumbin

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Currumbin experiences a high risk of heatwaves and extreme heat events. Rising temperatures pose a threat to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Currumbin faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Currumbin Creek and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to creek overflows and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

55/100

Currumbin faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and erosion. Coastal inundation can impact low-lying areas and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.0

2050

6.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Bushfire risk in Currumbin is moderate, particularly in areas bordering bushland reserves. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation dryness

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in high-risk areas.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone or coastal areas may experience price impacts.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the potential impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.
  • 4.Inquire about insurance coverage and premiums.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Currumbin Creek
Elevation Range
0-30 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near Currumbin Creek are designated as flood zones.

Historical flood events have impacted properties along Currumbin Creek. The council provides flood maps and information to help residents prepare for flood events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Some properties border bushland reserves.
Planning Overlay
QFES bushfire prone area map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents in bushfire-prone areas should maintain firebreaks and have a bushfire survival plan.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
29.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

The number of days exceeding 30 degrees Celsius is expected to increase in the future.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas are exposed to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Some coastal areas are at risk of erosion.

Historical Climate Events

2017
stormModerate

Severe storm caused flash flooding and property damage in Currumbin.

Source
2020
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall led to flooding of Currumbin Creek, impacting low-lying areas.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions impacted vulnerable populations.

Source
2013
floodMajor

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Oswald caused widespread flooding in the region, including Currumbin.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire404.3(+0.3)4.6(+0.6)
heat707.7(+0.7)8.5(+1.5)
coastal555.9(+0.4)6.3(+0.8)

By 2030, Currumbin is projected to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, particularly heatwaves and flooding. Sea level rise will also pose a growing threat to coastal areas.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to protect against flooding, such as levees, drainage improvements, and flood-proofing of buildings.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Early Warning System

Immediate

Implement a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Protect Coastal Areas

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as beach nourishment, seawalls, and dune restoration, to protect against sea level rise and erosion.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as vegetation management, firebreaks, and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Currumbin's Climate Risk Profile

Currumbin, located on the southern end of the Gold Coast, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's low-lying areas along Currumbin Creek make it susceptible to flooding during heavy rainfall events. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity and frequency of these rainfall events, exacerbating the flood risk.

Rising temperatures pose another significant threat to Currumbin. Heatwaves are becoming more common and intense, placing stress on vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban environment can amplify the effects of heat, creating urban heat islands.

Coastal hazards, including sea level rise and erosion, also threaten Currumbin's coastal areas. Sea level rise can lead to inundation of low-lying areas, while erosion can damage beaches and infrastructure. Increased storm intensity can further exacerbate these coastal risks.

Bushfire risk is also present, particularly in areas bordering bushland reserves. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood of bushfires, which can pose a threat to homes and property.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of adaptation and mitigation measures. Adaptation strategies include improving flood defenses, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and protecting coastal areas. Mitigation efforts focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · QFES · Gold Coast City Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Currumbin?

The main climate change risks in Currumbin are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards such as sea level rise and erosion. Bushfire risk is also present in some areas.

How is the Gold Coast City Council addressing climate change?

The Gold Coast City Council is implementing a range of measures to address climate change, including developing a climate action plan, investing in flood mitigation infrastructure, and promoting sustainable development practices.

What can I do to prepare for flooding in Currumbin?

You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, developing a flood plan, and ensuring your property is adequately insured. Consider flood-proofing your home and moving valuables to higher ground.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Currumbin?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

What is being done to protect Currumbin's beaches from erosion?

The Gold Coast City Council is implementing coastal protection measures, such as beach nourishment and dune restoration, to protect Currumbin's beaches from erosion.

Are there any community groups in Currumbin focused on climate action?

Yes, there are several community groups in the Gold Coast region focused on climate action. Check with the Gold Coast City Council for a list of local environmental groups.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections