Climate Risk in Deeral, QLD

Deeral, Queensland
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Deeral, Queensland, faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly related to heatwaves and flooding. Bushfire and coastal risks are also present. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Deeral

increasing

Flood

60/100

Deeral faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

Deeral has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Deeral is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

50/100

Deeral may experience some coastal impacts due to sea level rise and storm surges. The extent of the impact will depend on future emissions scenarios.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Deeral

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Deeral is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.5

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Deeral faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

50/100

Deeral may experience some coastal impacts due to sea level rise and storm surges. The extent of the impact will depend on future emissions scenarios.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Deeral has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of heatwaves on property value.
  • 4.Evaluate the risk of coastal hazards, such as storm surge.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Johnstone River
Elevation Range
5-15m
Flood Zone
Likely

Deeral is located near the Johnstone River, making it susceptible to riverine flooding. Historical flood events have impacted the area.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent
Planning Overlay
Queensland Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The suburb is adjacent to bushland areas, increasing the risk of bushfires, especially during dry periods.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Deeral experiences high temperatures during summer months, with several heat stress events per year. This can impact human health and infrastructure.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas may be exposed
Erosion Risk
Minimal

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodMajor

Major flooding in the Johnstone River impacted Deeral, causing significant damage to property and infrastructure.

Source
2018
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected Deeral, leading to increased hospital admissions and strain on the electricity grid.

Source
2020
bushfireModerate

Bushfires near Deeral caused property damage and required evacuations.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.3(+0.3)4.8(+0.8)
heat707.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal505.2(+0.2)5.5(+0.5)

By 2030, Deeral is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with heatwaves and flooding posing the greatest challenges.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood barriers to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation

Near-term

Create firebreaks, clear vegetation around properties, and develop community bushfire preparedness plans.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness

Immediate

Establish cooling centers, provide public education on heatwave safety, and ensure access to air conditioning for vulnerable populations.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Coastal Protection

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and storm surge.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

About Deeral's Climate Risk Profile

Deeral is a suburb in Queensland that is vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include increased heatwaves, flooding, bushfires, and coastal hazards. Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.

Flooding is a significant concern for Deeral due to its location near waterways. Increased rainfall intensity and potential sea level rise could lead to more frequent and severe flooding events. Bushfire risk is also present due to the surrounding vegetation, with hotter and drier conditions increasing the likelihood of fires.

Heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and intense, posing a threat to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Coastal hazards, including storm surges and erosion, could also impact Deeral, particularly in low-lying areas.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Mitigation efforts focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow down the pace of climate change. Adaptation strategies involve preparing for the impacts of climate change that are already locked in, such as building more resilient infrastructure and implementing early warning systems.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Queensland Fire and Emergency Services · Queensland Government

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Deeral?

The main climate change risks in Deeral include increased heatwaves, flooding, bushfires, and coastal hazards.

How will climate change affect property values in Deeral?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions due to increased climate-related risks.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Deeral?

Stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

What should I do to protect my property from bushfires?

Create firebreaks, clear vegetation around your property, and have a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Deeral?

You can find flood maps and historical flood data on the Queensland Government website.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections