Climate Risk in Kingaroy, QLD

Kingaroy, Queensland· South Burnett· 4608
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Kingaroy faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly increasing the intensity of rainfall and the frequency of heatwaves. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Kingaroy

increasing

Flood

65/100

Kingaroy faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location near waterways and historical flood events. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

Kingaroy has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

60/100

Kingaroy is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Kingaroy is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards.

increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Kingaroy

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Kingaroy is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Kingaroy faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location near waterways and historical flood events. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Kingaroy is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Kingaroy has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property comfort and energy costs.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related hazards.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Barker Creek
Elevation Range
440-480m
Flood Zone
Areas near Barker Creek are prone to flooding.

Historical flood data indicates that properties near Barker Creek are at higher risk. Council flood maps provide detailed information on flood-prone areas.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Within 1km of significant bushland areas.
Planning Overlay
Refer to the Queensland Bushfire Prone Area Map.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties adjacent to or near bushland areas are at increased risk during bushfire season. Regular property maintenance and awareness of fire warnings are crucial.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Kingaroy experiences several days above 35°C during summer. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, increasing the risk of heat stress.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable.
Erosion Risk
Not applicable.

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodMajor

The 2011 Queensland floods caused significant inundation in Kingaroy, affecting homes and businesses.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the South Burnett region threatened Kingaroy, requiring evacuations and property protection efforts.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

Kingaroy experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40°C, placing strain on infrastructure and public health services.

Source
2020
droughtModerate

Severe drought conditions impacted agricultural production and water resources in the Kingaroy region.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire404.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
heat606.7(+0.7)7.2(+1.2)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Kingaroy is projected to experience increased flood risk due to more intense rainfall events. Heatwaves will become more frequent and severe, posing a greater risk to public health. Bushfire risk will also increase due to drier conditions.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Improve the capacity of stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement a community heatwave preparedness plan

Immediate

Develop a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Establish bushfire buffer zones

Near-term

Create and maintain buffer zones around properties to reduce the risk of bushfire damage.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote water conservation measures

Long-term

Encourage residents and businesses to adopt water-saving practices to mitigate the impacts of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Kingaroy's Climate Risk Profile

Kingaroy, located in the South Burnett region of Queensland, is susceptible to several climate-related hazards. The area has a history of flooding due to its proximity to waterways, and climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Bushfire risk is also a concern, with surrounding bushland creating a potential fuel load. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires in the region. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards and stay informed about fire warnings.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Kingaroy, posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. It is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments during heatwaves, and check on neighbors.

While Kingaroy is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, could affect the region. Preparing for these indirect impacts is essential for building resilience.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Queensland Government · South Burnett Regional Council · Queensland Fire and Emergency Services

Local Government Resources

South Burnett Regional Council

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Kingaroy?

Kingaroy faces increased risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. Rainfall intensity is expected to increase, leading to more frequent and severe floods. Hotter, drier conditions will increase bushfire risk, and heatwaves will become more common and intense.

How can I prepare my property for increased flood risk?

You can prepare your property by elevating appliances, sealing walls, and installing flood barriers. Check your insurance coverage and develop a flood emergency plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, avoid strenuous activity, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Be aware of the symptoms of heat stress and seek medical attention if needed.

How can I reduce my property's bushfire risk?

Reduce your property's bushfire risk by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan. Ensure you have adequate insurance coverage.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Kingaroy?

You can find more information on the South Burnett Regional Council website, the Queensland Government website, and the CSIRO climate change projections website.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections