Climate Risk Assessment: Mount Sheridan, QLD

Mount Sheridan, Queensland
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Mount Sheridan faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Rising temperatures and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.5

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mount Sheridan

increasing

Flood

65/100

Mount Sheridan faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to creeks and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development reducing natural drainage
increasing

Bushfire

42/100

The risk of bushfires in Mount Sheridan is moderate, with bushland areas located nearby. Drier conditions and higher temperatures can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
increasing

Heat

70/100

Mount Sheridan experiences a high risk of heatwaves and extreme heat events. Rising temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

55/100

Mount Sheridan faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges can impact low-lying areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mount Sheridan

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Mount Sheridan experiences a high risk of heatwaves and extreme heat events. Rising temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Mount Sheridan faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to creeks and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development reducing natural drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

55/100

Mount Sheridan faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges can impact low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.0

2050

6.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

The risk of bushfires in Mount Sheridan is moderate, with bushland areas located nearby. Drier conditions and higher temperatures can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and cyclone risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property value.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Freshwater Creek
Elevation Range
5-20 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near Freshwater Creek are prone to flooding.

Historical flood events have impacted properties near the creek. Council flood maps indicate areas at risk.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
QFES Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The suburb borders areas designated as bushfire prone. Residents should maintain firebreaks and have evacuation plans.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

January is typically the hottest month, with average maximum temperatures exceeding 31°C. Heat stress events are becoming more frequent.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas may be exposed to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Minimal erosion risk currently.

Historical Climate Events

2019
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in parts of Mount Sheridan, impacting some residential areas.

Source
2018
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in North Queensland led to increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source
2011
stormMajor

Tropical Cyclone Yasi caused widespread damage across North Queensland, including heavy rainfall and strong winds in Mount Sheridan.

Source
2000
floodModerate

Significant flooding occurred in the Cairns region, affecting Mount Sheridan and surrounding suburbs.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire424.4(+0.2)4.7(+0.5)
heat707.7(+0.7)8.5(+1.5)
coastal555.8(+0.3)6.1(+0.6)

By 2030, Mount Sheridan is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, along with an increased risk of flooding due to heavier rainfall events. Bushfire risk will also rise due to drier conditions.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Plans

Near-term

Develop and implement bushfire management plans to reduce the risk of property damage and protect residents.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plans

Immediate

Create heatwave response plans to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Defenses

Long-term

Invest in coastal defenses to protect low-lying areas from sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Near-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures through community awareness programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Mount Sheridan's Climate Risk Profile

Mount Sheridan, Queensland, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's location makes it susceptible to flooding from intense rainfall events, while rising temperatures exacerbate the risk of heatwaves. Coastal hazards, including sea level rise and storm surges, also pose a threat to low-lying areas.

The risk of flooding is expected to increase due to more frequent and intense rainfall events. Urban development can further reduce natural drainage, increasing the likelihood of flash flooding. Bushfire risk is also a concern, with nearby bushland areas becoming drier and more prone to fires during hotter months.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and severe, posing health risks to residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas. Sea level rise and storm surges threaten coastal areas, potentially causing erosion and inundation.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is crucial to slowing down the rate of climate change. Local adaptation measures, such as improving drainage infrastructure, implementing bushfire management plans, and developing heatwave response plans, are essential to protecting the community.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · QFES · Cairns Regional Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Mount Sheridan?

Mount Sheridan faces risks from flooding, heatwaves, bushfires, and coastal hazards due to climate change.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

Cairns Regional Council is developing and implementing climate strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Residents can stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.

How can I protect my property from flooding?

Consider installing flood barriers, elevating appliances, and ensuring proper drainage around your property.

What should I do during a bushfire?

Follow the advice of emergency services, evacuate if necessary, and have a bushfire survival plan in place.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

You can find flood maps and information on the Cairns Regional Council website.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections