Is Paget, QLD Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment

Paget, Queensland· UNKNOWN
Moderate climate risk — address-specificUpdated 1 Apr 2026

Climate Safety Score

5.5/10

Moderate climate risk — address-specific

Key Facts

Climate Safety
Medium
Flood
Paget faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Paget is relatively low due to the developed nature of the area. However, surrounding vegetation poses a potential threat during dry periods.
Heat
Paget experiences high temperatures during summer, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Storm
Notable storm risk — tropical cyclones and severe thunderstorms in summer months
Postcode
4740
Highest high-risk exposure
17.5% of land (bushfire)

Climate Safety Analysis

Paget in Queensland has an overall climate safety rating of Medium. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Key factors affecting Paget's climate safety include heat, flood, coastal. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.

Climate safety for property in Paget is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.

For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Paget including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.

Paget (postcode 4740) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (17.5% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (13.9% of land in high-risk zones), extreme wind (12% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Paget — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to Bushland1-5 km
BAL OverlayNot prominent
Nearest WaterwayPioneer River
Flood ZoneLikely
Avg January Max31.5 °C

Historical Events

2018
Moderate

Prolonged heatwave conditions led to increased demand for electricity and put strain on the power grid.

2015
Moderate

Severe storms caused damage to buildings and infrastructure in Paget.

2008
Moderate

Major flooding in the Mackay region impacted Paget, causing disruption to businesses and infrastructure.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Upgrade drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in upgrading drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Implement heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert residents and businesses to impending heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Strengthen coastal defenses

Long-term

Construct or reinforce coastal defenses to protect against sea level rise and storm surge.

Est. cost: Very High

Promote energy efficiency

Near-term

Encourage businesses and residents to adopt energy-efficient practices to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Est. cost: Medium

Council & Emergency Services

Mackay Regional Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 1 April 2026

Explore Paget Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Paget safe from climate change?

No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Paget has an overall Medium climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.

Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Paget?

The dominant hazard for Paget depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.

How does Paget compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?

Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across Queensland suburbs.

Should I be concerned about buying property in Paget?

Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.

What climate projections should I know for Paget?

Key projections for Queensland from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Paget.

What share of Paget is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 17.5% of Paget in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 74.2% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Paget Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Paget, Queensland, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections