Climate Risk Profile: Rangeville, QLD

Rangeville, Queensland
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Rangeville faces moderate risks from flooding and bushfires, with a high risk from heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly heatwaves and flooding. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Rangeville

increasing

Flood

65/100

Rangeville faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

42/100

The risk of bushfires in Rangeville is moderate, particularly in areas close to bushland reserves. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

70/100

Rangeville experiences a high risk of heatwaves and extreme heat events, especially during the summer months. Urban areas retain heat, increasing the risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Rangeville is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Rangeville

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Rangeville experiences a high risk of heatwaves and extreme heat events, especially during the summer months. Urban areas retain heat, increasing the risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Rangeville faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Rangeville is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

The risk of bushfires in Rangeville is moderate, particularly in areas close to bushland reserves. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

4.8

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heatwave risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options for heatwaves.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
West Creek
Elevation Range
650-700m
Flood Zone
Areas near West Creek are susceptible to flooding.

Historical flood events have impacted properties near the creek. Council provides flood maps and advice for residents.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves on the eastern side.
Planning Overlay
Refer to QFES bushfire prone area maps.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties bordering bushland are at higher risk. Residents should maintain firebreaks and have a bushfire survival plan.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

The urban heat island effect increases temperatures in built-up areas. Vulnerable populations should take precautions during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable.
Erosion Risk
Not applicable.

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Widespread flooding in Toowoomba region impacted Rangeville, causing property damage and road closures.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions led to increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source
2020
stormMinor

Severe thunderstorms caused localized flooding and power outages in Rangeville.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire424.3(+0.1)4.4(+0.2)
heat707.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Rangeville is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave intensity and frequency, along with a slight increase in flood risk. Bushfire risk remains relatively stable. Coastal risks remain negligible.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Home Insulation

Near-term

Upgrade insulation to reduce heat gain during summer and heat loss during winter, lowering energy consumption and improving comfort.

Est. cost: $2,000 - $5,000

Learn more

Create Bushfire Buffer Zones

Immediate

Maintain a clear area around properties to reduce the risk of bushfire spread. Remove dry vegetation and flammable materials.

Est. cost: $500 - $1,000

Learn more

Install Rainwater Tanks

Long-term

Collect rainwater for non-potable uses such as gardening and toilet flushing, reducing demand on mains water supply and mitigating flood risk.

Est. cost: $3,000 - $8,000

Learn more

Support Community Resilience Initiatives

Near-term

Participate in local emergency management planning and community education programs to enhance preparedness for extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Minimal

Learn more

About Rangeville's Climate Risk Profile

Rangeville, Queensland, is susceptible to a range of climate-related risks. The suburb's location makes it vulnerable to flooding during periods of heavy rainfall, and nearby bushland increases the risk of bushfires, especially during dry seasons. The urban environment also contributes to a significant urban heat island effect, increasing the risk of heatwaves.

Climate change is projected to intensify these risks. Rising temperatures will lead to more frequent and severe heatwaves, posing a threat to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations. Changes in rainfall patterns are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of flooding events. While bushfire risk is already present, hotter and drier conditions could further exacerbate this threat.

Understanding these risks is crucial for residents and property owners in Rangeville. Taking proactive measures to adapt to climate change, such as improving home insulation, creating bushfire buffer zones, and supporting community resilience initiatives, can help mitigate the impacts of these hazards.

Local authorities are working to address these challenges through improved infrastructure, emergency management planning, and community education programs. However, individual action is also essential to ensure the safety and well-being of the community in the face of a changing climate.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · QFES · Toowoomba Regional Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Rangeville?

Rangeville faces risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events.

How can I prepare my home for a heatwave in Rangeville?

Improve insulation, install air conditioning or fans, and ensure you have access to cool spaces. Stay hydrated and avoid strenuous activity during the hottest parts of the day.

What should I do to protect my property from bushfires in Rangeville?

Create a bushfire buffer zone around your property by removing dry vegetation and flammable materials. Have a bushfire survival plan and ensure you have adequate insurance coverage.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Rangeville?

Toowoomba Regional Council provides flood maps and advice for residents. Check their website for detailed information and historical flood data.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Rangeville?

Toowoomba Regional Council is implementing various strategies to mitigate and adapt to climate change, including improving infrastructure, promoting energy efficiency, and supporting community resilience initiatives. Check their website for more details.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections