Climate Risk in Robina, Queensland

Robina, Queensland· Gold Coast· 4226
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Robina is a suburb on the Gold Coast that faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, with increasing temperatures and rainfall intensity. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
6.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Robina

increasing

Flood

60/100

Robina faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

30/100

Bushfire risk in Robina is relatively low due to the suburb's urban nature and limited vegetation. However, surrounding bushland areas pose a potential threat during dry periods.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

70/100

Robina experiences high temperatures during summer, with heatwaves becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

60/100

Robina is located inland, but is still indirectly affected by coastal hazards. Sea level rise and storm surges can impact nearby coastal areas, potentially affecting infrastructure and access routes.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Robina

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Robina experiences high temperatures during summer, with heatwaves becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Robina faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Sea level rise

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

60/100

Robina is located inland, but is still indirectly affected by coastal hazards. Sea level rise and storm surges can impact nearby coastal areas, potentially affecting infrastructure and access routes.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.3

2050

6.8

Data source

bushfire Risk

30/100

Bushfire risk in Robina is relatively low due to the suburb's urban nature and limited vegetation. However, surrounding bushland areas pose a potential threat during dry periods.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to the rising risk of flooding and other extreme weather events.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value as climate risks become more apparent.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise on nearby areas.
  • 4.Review insurance options and premiums.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Nerang River
Elevation Range
5-20 meters
Flood Zone
Medium

Some areas of Robina are prone to flash flooding during intense rainfall events. The Gold Coast City Council maintains flood maps and provides guidance on flood preparedness.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
1-2 km
Planning Overlay
QFES Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

While Robina is largely urbanized, some areas border bushland and are designated as bushfire prone. Residents should maintain their properties and be aware of fire danger ratings.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Robina experiences several heat stress events each year, particularly during the summer months. The Bureau of Meteorology provides heatwave forecasts and advice on staying safe during hot weather.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
7 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Indirect
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2013
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused widespread flooding in Robina and surrounding areas, inundating homes and businesses.

Source
2017
stormModerate

A severe thunderstorm brought strong winds and heavy rain to Robina, causing damage to property and infrastructure.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Robina experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 35 degrees Celsius for several days, putting strain on the electricity grid and causing heat stress in vulnerable populations.

Source
2022
floodMajor

Significant flooding impacted Robina, leading to road closures and property damage.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire303.2(+0.2)3.4(+0.4)
heat707.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal606.3(+0.3)6.6(+0.6)

By 2030, Robina is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with the most significant impacts from heatwaves and flooding. Rainfall intensity is expected to increase, leading to more frequent and severe floods. Temperatures will continue to rise, exacerbating heat stress during summer.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade flood mitigation infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in improved drainage systems, levees, and flood barriers to protect homes and businesses from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement a heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Develop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on staying safe during hot weather.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote energy efficiency and renewable energy

Long-term

Encourage residents and businesses to reduce their carbon footprint by adopting energy-efficient practices and investing in renewable energy sources.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance community resilience

Near-term

Develop community-based programs to help residents prepare for and respond to extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Robina's Climate Risk Profile

Robina, located on the Gold Coast, is a vibrant suburb known for its shopping, dining, and residential areas. However, like many coastal communities, Robina is vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.

The primary climate risks facing Robina are flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas makes it susceptible to flooding during heavy rainfall events. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe floods.

Heatwaves are also a significant concern, with rising temperatures posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further exacerbate heat stress in built-up areas.

While Robina is located inland, it is indirectly affected by coastal hazards. Sea level rise and storm surges can impact nearby coastal areas, potentially affecting infrastructure and access routes. It is important for residents to be aware of these risks and take steps to prepare for extreme weather events.

Adapting to climate change will require a multi-faceted approach, including investing in flood mitigation infrastructure, promoting energy efficiency, and implementing heatwave early warning systems. By taking proactive measures, Robina can build resilience and protect its community from the impacts of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · QFES · Gold Coast City Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Robina?

The main climate change risks in Robina are flooding, heatwaves, and indirect impacts from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surges.

How will climate change affect property values in Robina?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value as climate risks become more apparent. Insurance premiums may also increase due to the rising risk of extreme weather events.

What is the Gold Coast City Council doing to address climate change?

The Gold Coast City Council has developed a climate change strategy that outlines actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. This includes investing in flood mitigation infrastructure, promoting energy efficiency, and enhancing community resilience.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Robina?

During heatwaves, it is important to stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek shelter in air-conditioned environments. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members, and be aware of the signs of heat stress.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Robina?

The Gold Coast City Council provides flood maps and information on flood preparedness on its website. You can also contact the council directly for assistance.

Is Robina considered a bushfire prone area?

While largely urbanized, some areas of Robina border bushland and are designated as bushfire prone. Residents in these areas should maintain their properties and be aware of fire danger ratings.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections