Climate Risk in Strathpine, QLD

Strathpine, Queensland
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Strathpine faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is moderate, while coastal risks are low. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.5

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Strathpine

increasing

Flood

65/100

Strathpine has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Pine River and other waterways. Several areas are susceptible to riverine and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development increasing runoff
increasing

Bushfire

42/100

Bushfire risk in Strathpine is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland reserves. Increased temperatures and drier conditions can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Strathpine is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

15/100

Coastal risk is low in Strathpine due to its inland location. Sea level rise and storm surges are not a significant threat.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Strathpine

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Strathpine is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Strathpine has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Pine River and other waterways. Several areas are susceptible to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development increasing runoff

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

15/100

Coastal risk is low in Strathpine due to its inland location. Sea level rise and storm surges are not a significant threat.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.5

2050

1.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

Bushfire risk in Strathpine is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland reserves. Increased temperatures and drier conditions can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in areas with higher flood or bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area overlays.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making property decisions.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Pine River
Elevation Range
5-20 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near the Pine River are designated as flood zones.

Historical flood events have impacted properties near the river. Council provides flood maps and guidance for residents.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Some properties border bushland reserves.
Planning Overlay
Refer to the QFES bushfire prone area map.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents in bushfire prone areas should maintain fire breaks and have an evacuation plan.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense. Vulnerable populations are at higher risk.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
15 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodMajor

The 2011 Brisbane floods caused significant inundation in Strathpine, particularly along the Pine River.

Source
2020
stormModerate

Severe thunderstorms caused flash flooding and property damage in Strathpine.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in early 2019 resulted in increased hospital admissions in the Moreton Bay region.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire424.5(+0.3)5.0(+0.8)
heat707.7(+0.7)8.5(+1.5)
coastal151.51.5

By 2030, Strathpine is projected to experience a notable increase in flood and heatwave risks. Bushfire risk will also slightly increase. Coastal risks remain low.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Resilience

Near-term

Implement property-level flood protection measures, such as raising electrical outlets and installing flood barriers.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Heatwave Preparedness

Immediate

Install insulation, use energy-efficient appliances, and establish cooling centers for vulnerable residents.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Reduce Bushfire Risk

Near-term

Maintain fire breaks, clear vegetation around properties, and develop a bushfire evacuation plan.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Upgrade Infrastructure

Long-term

Invest in infrastructure upgrades to improve drainage and reduce the urban heat island effect.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Strathpine's Climate Risk Profile

Strathpine, located in the Moreton Bay region of Queensland, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns are related to flooding and heatwaves, with moderate bushfire risk also present.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to the Pine River and other waterways. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, is expected to exacerbate flood risks. Urban development further contributes to the problem by increasing runoff.

Heatwaves are also projected to become more frequent and intense, posing a threat to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect can amplify these impacts.

Bushfire risk is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland reserves. Drier conditions and higher temperatures can increase the likelihood of bushfires. Coastal risks are low due to Strathpine's inland location.

Residents and property owners should take proactive measures to mitigate these risks, including preparing for extreme weather events, improving home insulation, and staying informed about local emergency plans.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · QFES · Moreton Bay Regional Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Strathpine?

The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and moderate bushfire risk.

How can I prepare my home for flooding in Strathpine?

Consider raising electrical outlets, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage around your property.

What should I do during a heatwave in Strathpine?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

How can I reduce the risk of bushfire on my property?

Maintain fire breaks, clear vegetation, and have a bushfire evacuation plan in place.

Where can I find more information about local emergency plans?

Visit the Moreton Bay Regional Council website or the Queensland Fire and Emergency Services website.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections