Climate Risk Profile: Tamborine Mountain, QLD

Tamborine Mountain, Queensland· Scenic Rim· 4272
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Tamborine Mountain faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Increasing temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
4.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tamborine Mountain

increasing

Flood

65/100

Tamborine Mountain faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing creeks. The risk is exacerbated by steep terrain and potential for flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

Bushfire risk is high due to the proximity of dense bushland and eucalyptus forests. Dry conditions and strong winds can quickly escalate fire danger.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
increasing

Heat

40/100

Heat risk is moderate, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events. Vulnerable populations may experience heat stress.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Coastal risk is low due to the suburb's inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not direct threats.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tamborine Mountain

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

40/100

Heat risk is moderate, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events. Vulnerable populations may experience heat stress.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Tamborine Mountain faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing creeks. The risk is exacerbated by steep terrain and potential for flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Coastal risk is low due to the suburb's inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not direct threats.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

Bushfire risk is high due to the proximity of dense bushland and eucalyptus forests. Dry conditions and strong winds can quickly escalate fire danger.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price fluctuations.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage.
  • 4.Consider climate change projections and potential impacts.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Numerous creeks and gullies
Elevation Range
400-600m
Flood Zone
Varies depending on location; some areas are designated flood zones.

Local creeks can rise rapidly during heavy rainfall events, causing flash flooding.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Immediately adjacent to bushland in many areas
Planning Overlay
Queensland Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Many properties are located in or near bushfire-prone areas, requiring careful management of vegetation and fire safety measures.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
28.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heat stress can be a concern for vulnerable populations during summer months.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
45 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not directly exposed
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Severe flooding impacted Tamborine Mountain, causing road closures and property damage.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires threatened properties on Tamborine Mountain, requiring evacuations and firefighting efforts.

Source
2020
stormMinor

Severe storms caused power outages and tree damage on Tamborine Mountain.

Source
2023
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall led to flash flooding and road closures on Tamborine Mountain.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire707.5(+0.5)8.0(+1.0)
heat404.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Tamborine Mountain is projected to experience increased flood and bushfire risk due to more intense rainfall and drier conditions. Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and severe.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Management

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood early warning systems.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement vegetation management programs and conduct community fire safety workshops.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide heat safety information to vulnerable populations.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Building Codes

Long-term

Incorporate climate resilience measures into building codes to protect properties from extreme weather events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies through community workshops and online resources.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Tamborine Mountain's Climate Risk Profile

Tamborine Mountain, located in the Scenic Rim region of Queensland, is characterized by its lush rainforests and elevated position. This unique environment contributes to specific climate-related risks, particularly flooding and bushfires.

Flooding is a concern due to the area's steep terrain and high rainfall. Heavy downpours can lead to flash flooding and overflowing creeks, impacting properties and infrastructure. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, further elevating flood risk.

Bushfire risk is also significant, with dense bushland surrounding the suburb. Dry conditions and strong winds create a conducive environment for bushfires, posing a threat to homes and lives. Rising temperatures and prolonged droughts are expected to worsen bushfire conditions.

Heat risk is moderate, with average temperatures gradually increasing. Heatwave events are becoming more frequent, potentially impacting vulnerable populations. While coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location, the broader region may experience indirect effects from coastal hazards.

Addressing these climate risks requires proactive adaptation measures, including improved flood management, bushfire mitigation strategies, and heatwave preparedness plans. Community awareness and individual preparedness are also crucial for building resilience to climate change impacts.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Queensland Rural Fire Service · Scenic Rim Regional Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Tamborine Mountain?

The main climate risks are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

Clear gutters and drains, raise electrical appliances, and consider installing flood barriers.

What should I do during a bushfire?

Follow evacuation orders, stay informed about fire updates, and have a bushfire survival plan.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Tamborine Mountain?

Consult the Scenic Rim Regional Council website, the Bureau of Meteorology, and the CSIRO for climate projections and local information.

Is my property in a bushfire prone area?

You can check the Queensland Bushfire Prone Area Map on the Rural Fire Service website or contact the Scenic Rim Regional Council for more information.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections