Climate Risk Profile: Tamborine, QLD

Tamborine, Queensland
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Tamborine faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, bushfires, and increasing heat. The area is inland, so coastal risks are minimal. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tamborine

increasing

Flood

65/100

Tamborine faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Properties near waterways are particularly vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

The bushfire risk in Tamborine is high due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

50/100

Tamborine experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Coastal risk is low in Tamborine due to its inland location.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tamborine

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Tamborine experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Tamborine faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Properties near waterways are particularly vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Coastal risk is low in Tamborine due to its inland location.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

The bushfire risk in Tamborine is high due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Albert River
Elevation Range
150-580m
Flood Zone
Varies depending on proximity to waterways

Some areas have experienced flooding in the past, particularly after heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to significant bushland areas
Planning Overlay
Qld Fire and Emergency Services Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain fire breaks and be aware of fire danger ratings.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Elderly and those with chronic illnesses are most vulnerable during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not directly exposed
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Extensive flooding occurred in the region, impacting roads and properties.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas near Tamborine, leading to evacuations and property damage.

Source
2023
stormModerate

Severe storms caused power outages and property damage in the region.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire707.4(+0.4)7.7(+0.7)
heat505.2(+0.2)5.4(+0.4)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Tamborine is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and bushfire risks due to changing weather patterns.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as improved drainage systems and flood barriers.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire management strategies, including controlled burns and community education programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Water Conservation Measures

Long-term

Promote water conservation measures to address potential water shortages due to climate change.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Tamborine's Climate Risk Profile

Tamborine, Queensland, is susceptible to several climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the coming decades. Flooding is a significant concern, with increased rainfall intensity expected to lead to more frequent and severe flood events. Properties located near waterways are particularly vulnerable.

Bushfire risk is also high due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk, making it crucial for residents to maintain their properties and be prepared for potential bushfires.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations. The average maximum temperatures during summer are expected to rise, increasing the risk of heat stress.

While Tamborine is located inland, coastal risks are minimal. However, the broader region may experience indirect impacts from coastal erosion and sea-level rise. Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of individual preparedness, community resilience initiatives, and government policies.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Qld Fire and Emergency Services

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Tamborine?

The main climate risks in Tamborine are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

You can prepare your property for flooding by elevating structures, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage.

What should I do during a bushfire?

During a bushfire, follow the instructions of emergency services, evacuate if necessary, and protect your property by clearing vegetation and having a bushfire survival plan.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activities, and seek shelter in air-conditioned environments. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

The local council is working to develop climate adaptation strategies and promote sustainable practices. Check the council's website for more information.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections