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Climate Risk in Tingalpa, QLD

Tingalpa, Queensland
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Tingalpa is a suburb in Queensland that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should take steps to prepare for these challenges.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
5.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tingalpa

increasing

Flood

65/100

Tingalpa faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
stable

Bushfire

30/100

Tingalpa has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urbanized environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, dry conditions and strong winds can still pose a threat.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds
increasing

Heat

60/100

Tingalpa experiences high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

50/100

Tingalpa faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to Moreton Bay. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to inundation and erosion in low-lying areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tingalpa

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Tingalpa experiences high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Tingalpa faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

50/100

Tingalpa faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to Moreton Bay. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to inundation and erosion in low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

30/100

Tingalpa has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urbanized environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, dry conditions and strong winds can still pose a threat.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Human ignition

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to flood and coastal risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review insurance options and costs.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Bulimba Creek
Elevation Range
5-15 meters
Flood Zone
Medium

Areas near Bulimba Creek are particularly vulnerable to flooding.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
2 km
Planning Overlay
Not significantly affected
Bushfire Prone Area
No

The suburb is largely urbanized, reducing bushfire risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
3 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Moderate
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodMajor

The 2011 Brisbane floods caused significant inundation in Tingalpa, affecting homes and businesses.

Source
2013
stormModerate

A severe thunderstorm caused flash flooding and property damage in Tingalpa.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in January 2020 led to increased hospital admissions for heat-related illnesses in the Brisbane region, including Tingalpa.

Source
2022
floodMajor

Major flooding event impacted Tingalpa, causing widespread damage and displacement.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.9(+0.4)7.2(+0.7)
bushfire303.1(+0.1)3.3(+0.3)
heat606.5(+0.5)6.9(+0.9)
coastal505.2(+0.2)5.6(+0.6)

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Tingalpa is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk by 2030, with notable increases in flood and heat risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to protect against flooding, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Protection

Long-term

Implement measures to protect against coastal erosion and storm surges, such as seawalls and beach nourishment.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Near-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce the impact of droughts and water scarcity.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Tingalpa's Climate Risk Profile

Tingalpa, located in Queensland, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to waterways and Moreton Bay makes it susceptible to flooding and coastal hazards. Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose additional risks to the community.

Flooding is a significant concern for Tingalpa. Increased rainfall intensity and sea level rise are expected to worsen flood events, potentially damaging property and infrastructure. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take appropriate precautions.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Tingalpa. High temperatures can lead to heat stress and other health problems, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. It is important to stay hydrated and seek shelter during heatwaves.

Coastal hazards, such as storm surges and erosion, also pose a threat to Tingalpa. Sea level rise is expected to increase the frequency and severity of these events, potentially impacting coastal properties and ecosystems.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of adaptation and mitigation measures. Residents, businesses, and local government need to work together to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and build resilience to the impacts of climate change. This includes investing in flood protection infrastructure, promoting energy efficiency, and protecting coastal ecosystems.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · QFES · Brisbane City Council

Local Government Resources

Brisbane City Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Tingalpa?

Tingalpa faces risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards due to its location and climate change impacts.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

Brisbane City Council has a climate strategy that includes measures to reduce emissions and build resilience to climate impacts.

What can I do to prepare for flooding in Tingalpa?

Check flood maps, have an emergency plan, and consider flood insurance. Elevate your home if possible.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Is my property at risk from sea level rise?

Properties in low-lying coastal areas are at risk. Check coastal hazard maps and consider long-term impacts.

Where can I find information about emergency services in Tingalpa?

The Queensland Fire and Emergency Services (QFES) website provides information about emergency preparedness and response.

Get your property's risk report

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$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
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30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

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