Is Tully, QLD Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment
Climate Safety Score
7.2/10Climate risk is high — address assessment recommended
Key Facts
- Climate Safety
- High
- Flood
- Tully is highly susceptible to flooding due to its location in a high rainfall area and proximity to the Tully River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
- Bushfire
- Bushfire risk in Tully is moderate. While not immediately surrounded by dense bushland, the risk can increase during prolonged dry periods and high winds. Climate change is projected to lengthen the fire season and increase fire intensity.
- Heat
- Tully experiences high average temperatures and humidity, making it vulnerable to heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency, duration, and intensity of heatwaves, posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations.
- Storm
- Notable storm risk — tropical cyclones and severe thunderstorms in summer months
- Postcode
- 4854
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 15.1% of land (riverine flood)
Climate Safety Analysis
Tully in Queensland has an overall climate safety rating of High. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.
Key factors affecting Tully's climate safety include heat, flood, coastal. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.
Climate safety for property in Tully is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.
For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Tully including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.
Tully (postcode 4854) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are riverine flood (15.1% of land in high-risk zones), bushfire (13.4% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (8.4% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Tully — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
A severe storm caused damage to trees and powerlines in Tully.
Heavy rainfall caused flooding in Tully, inundating roads and properties.
Severe flooding occurred in Tully following Cyclone Yasi, causing widespread damage to homes and businesses.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Improve Flood Defenses
ImmediateInvest in flood levees, drainage improvements, and other infrastructure to protect homes and businesses from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Strengthen Coastal Protection
Near-termImplement coastal protection measures, such as sea walls and beach nourishment, to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Est. cost: High
Enhance Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as controlled burns and vegetation management, to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Develop a Heatwave Response Plan
ImmediateDevelop a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including providing cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Tully Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Tully:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Tully safe from climate change?
No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Tully has an overall High climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.
Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Tully?
The dominant hazard for Tully depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.
How does Tully compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?
Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across Queensland suburbs.
Should I be concerned about buying property in Tully?
Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.
What climate projections should I know for Tully?
Key projections for Queensland from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Tully.
What share of Tully is exposed to high riverine flood risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 15.1% of Tully in high-risk zones for riverine flood, with a further 62.7% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Tully Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tully, Queensland, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections