๐Ÿ“ฎ Tully postcode: 4854

Flood Risk in Tully, QLD: 2026 Assessment

Tully, Queenslandยท Cassowary Coastยท 4854
Tully is highly susceptible to flooding due to its location in a high rainfall area and proximity to the Tully River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.Updated 7 Mar 2026

Flood Risk Score

8.5/10

Tully is highly susceptible to flooding due to its location in a high rainfall area and proximity to the Tully River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Key Facts

Flood Risk
Tully is highly susceptible to flooding due to its location in a high rainfall area and proximity to the Tully River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Trend
increasing
Suburb
Tully, QLD
Overall Risk
High
Postcode
4854
Highest high-risk exposure
15.1% of land (riverine flood)

Flood Risk Analysis

Tully, located in Queensland, has a notable flood risk profile based on available data including proximity to waterways, elevation, and historical flood events. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) maintains river height and flood warning data for catchments across Queensland.

Historical flood events have caused significant damage in Tully, highlighting the need for improved flood mitigation measures.

Tully is highly susceptible to flooding due to its location in a high rainfall area and proximity to the Tully River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

For a comprehensive property-specific flood assessment including address-level elevation data, flood overlay mapping, and insurance cost estimates, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool. General suburb data cannot replace a site-specific evaluation.

Tully sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for flood risk. 15.1% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk flood zones and 62.7% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Tully.

Tully (postcode 4854) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are riverine flood (15.1% of land in high-risk zones), bushfire (13.4% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (8.4% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Tully โ€” individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Nearest WaterwayTully River
Elevation Range5-20 meters
Flood Zone ClassificationAreas adjacent to the Tully River are designated as flood zones.

Historical Events

2019
Moderate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in Tully, inundating roads and properties.

2011
Major

Severe flooding occurred in Tully following Cyclone Yasi, causing widespread damage to homes and businesses.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Flood Defenses

Immediate

Invest in flood levees, drainage improvements, and other infrastructure to protect homes and businesses from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Strengthen Coastal Protection

Near-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as sea walls and beach nourishment, to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Est. cost: High

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as controlled burns and vegetation management, to reduce the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Develop a Heatwave Response Plan

Immediate

Develop a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including providing cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

Cassowary Coast Regional Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 7 March 2026

Explore Tully Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Tully at risk of flooding?

Based on available data, Tully has a notable flood risk profile. Flood risk varies by address โ€” check your specific property for precise flood zone mapping and elevation data with ClimateNest.

What flood insurance costs can I expect in Tully?

Insurance costs for flood cover in Tully depend on the property's flood zone classification, elevation, and proximity to waterways. ClimateNest provides address-level insurance cost estimates based on your property's specific hazard exposure.

Does flood risk affect property values in Tully?

Yes, flood risk can affect property values in Tully. Properties in mapped flood zones may experience lower buyer demand, reduced valuations, and higher insurance costs. Lenders increasingly assess flood exposure as part of mortgage risk evaluation.

How does elevation affect flood risk in Tully?

Elevation is a critical factor in flood risk. Properties at higher elevations within Tully typically have lower flood exposure than those near waterways or in low-lying areas. Address-level elevation data combined with BOM flood mapping provides the most accurate picture.

What share of Tully is exposed to high riverine flood risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 15.1% of Tully in high-risk zones for riverine flood, with a further 62.7% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform โ€” individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Tully Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tully, Queensland, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 ยท Australian addresses only ยท 8 hazard scores ยท Insurance trajectory ยท 2030 & 2050 projections