Climate Risk Profile: Semaphore South, SA

Semaphore South, South Australia
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Semaphore South faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Semaphore South

increasing

Flood

60/100

Semaphore South faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall and potential stormwater runoff. The flat topography and proximity to coastal areas contribute to this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
stable

Bushfire

30/100

The bushfire risk in Semaphore South is relatively low due to its coastal location and limited vegetation. However, dry vegetation in nearby reserves could pose a threat during extreme heat and windy conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Extreme heat events
increasing

Heat

70/100

Semaphore South experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. The increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves pose a significant threat to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

50/100

Semaphore South is exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion. The low-lying coastal areas are particularly vulnerable to inundation during storm surges and high tides.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge intensity
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — gusty northerly winds

stable

Storm

24/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — summer cooling

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Semaphore South

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Semaphore South experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. The increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves pose a significant threat to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Semaphore South faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall and potential stormwater runoff. The flat topography and proximity to coastal areas contribute to this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

50/100

Semaphore South is exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion. The low-lying coastal areas are particularly vulnerable to inundation during storm surges and high tides.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

30/100

The bushfire risk in Semaphore South is relatively low due to its coastal location and limited vegetation. However, dry vegetation in nearby reserves could pose a threat during extreme heat and windy conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Extreme heat events
  • ·Windy conditions

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price depreciation.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood history of the property.
  • 2.Assess coastal erosion risk.
  • 3.Evaluate heat resilience of the building.
  • 4.Inquire about council's climate adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Port River
Elevation Range
0-5 meters
Flood Zone
Coastal Flood Zone

The area is susceptible to tidal inundation and stormwater flooding.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
2km to nearest reserve
Planning Overlay
Not significantly overlaid
Bushfire Prone Area
No

Limited bushfire risk due to coastal location.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
29.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Moderate exposure to sea level rise
Erosion Risk
Moderate erosion risk

Historical Climate Events

2016
stormModerate

Severe storms caused flash flooding and power outages in the region.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Record-breaking heatwave impacted the health of vulnerable residents.

Source
2022
floodMinor

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.2(+0.2)6.5(+0.5)
bushfire303.1(+0.1)3.2(+0.2)
heat707.4(+0.4)7.8(+0.8)
coastal505.2(+0.2)5.6(+0.6)

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Semaphore South will experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, with heatwaves and coastal flooding posing the greatest challenges.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Develop a system to alert vulnerable residents during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect coastal areas

Long-term

Invest in coastal protection measures to mitigate erosion and sea level rise impacts.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Near-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Semaphore South's Climate Risk Profile

Semaphore South, located in South Australia, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's coastal location and low-lying topography make it particularly susceptible to flooding and coastal erosion. Rising sea levels and more intense storm surges pose a significant threat to coastal infrastructure and properties.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and severe, impacting the health and well-being of residents, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect exacerbates the heat risk in densely populated areas. Changes in rainfall patterns, including more intense rainfall events, increase the risk of flash flooding and stormwater runoff.

Bushfire risk is relatively low compared to other regions in South Australia, but dry vegetation in nearby reserves could pose a threat during extreme heat and windy conditions. It is crucial for residents to stay informed about potential hazards and take proactive measures to protect their homes and families.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of adaptation and mitigation strategies. Investing in flood defenses, improving stormwater management, and implementing heat mitigation measures are essential to protect the community. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is crucial to slow down the rate of climate change and minimize future risks.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · SA SES · City of Port Adelaide Enfield

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Semaphore South?

The main risks include flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to sea level rise.

How will climate change affect property values in Semaphore South?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price depreciation due to increased flood and erosion risks.

What can I do to protect my home from flooding?

Consider installing flood barriers, improving drainage, and elevating appliances.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Semaphore South?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Semaphore South?

The council is implementing climate adaptation plans, including improving stormwater drainage and protecting coastal areas.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections