Climate Risk in Waikerie, SA

Waikerie, South Australia· 5330
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Waikerie faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to heatwaves and riverine flooding. While coastal risks are negligible, the increasing frequency and intensity of heat events pose a significant challenge. Residents should prepare for hotter summers and potential disruptions from flooding.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Waikerie

stable

Flood

40/100

Waikerie faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from the Murray River. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas and impact infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·River levels
  • ·Rainfall patterns
stable

Bushfire

30/100

The risk of bushfires in Waikerie is relatively low compared to other regions in South Australia, but still present, particularly in areas with dry vegetation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

70/100

Waikerie experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to a significant risk of heatwaves and heat stress for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Waikerie is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — gusty northerly winds

stable

Storm

24/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — summer cooling

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Waikerie

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Waikerie experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to a significant risk of heatwaves and heat stress for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

40/100

Waikerie faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from the Murray River. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas and impact infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·River levels
  • ·Rainfall patterns
  • ·Upstream dam management

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

4.2

2050

4.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Waikerie is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

30/100

The risk of bushfires in Waikerie is relatively low compared to other regions in South Australia, but still present, particularly in areas with dry vegetation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind conditions

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Home insurance premiums may be affected by flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in low-lying areas near the river may experience some price impact due to flood risk.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about council's climate adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Murray River
Elevation Range
10-30 meters
Flood Zone
Areas adjacent to the Murray River are designated as flood zones.

Historical flood data indicates that Waikerie has experienced several significant flood events in the past. The local council maintains flood management plans and provides information to residents on how to prepare for flooding.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
500m
Planning Overlay
CFS Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

While not as high risk as other areas, residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
33.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Waikerie's inland location contributes to its high summer temperatures. The local council operates cooling centers during heatwaves to provide relief for vulnerable residents.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

1956
floodMajor

The 1956 Murray River flood was one of the largest on record, causing widespread inundation in Waikerie and surrounding areas.

Source
2013
floodModerate

Moderate flooding occurred along the Murray River, impacting low-lying areas in Waikerie.

Source
2009
heatwaveMajor

A severe heatwave affected South Australia, with record-breaking temperatures recorded in Waikerie.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions impacted Waikerie, placing stress on vulnerable populations.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood404.1(+0.1)4.2(+0.2)
bushfire303.1(+0.1)3.3(+0.3)
heat707.5(+0.5)8.5(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Waikerie is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves. The risk of flooding from the Murray River is expected to remain relatively stable, while bushfire risk may slightly increase due to drier conditions.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Implement a comprehensive heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Upgrade flood defenses

Near-term

Invest in upgrading flood defenses along the Murray River to protect low-lying areas from inundation.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Improve bushfire preparedness

Near-term

Enhance bushfire preparedness through community education programs, fuel reduction activities, and improved fire response capabilities.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Implement water conservation measures to ensure sustainable water resources in the face of increasing temperatures and potential droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Waikerie's Climate Risk Profile

Waikerie, located in South Australia's Riverland region, is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of heatwaves due to its inland location and high summer temperatures. The Murray River also presents a flood risk, especially during periods of heavy rainfall or upstream dam releases.

Climate change projections indicate that Waikerie will experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This will place increased stress on the local community, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. It will also impact agricultural productivity and water resources.

The risk of flooding from the Murray River is expected to remain relatively stable, but the potential for extreme flood events cannot be ruled out. Effective flood management strategies and community preparedness are essential to mitigate the impacts of flooding.

While bushfire risk is lower compared to other regions, it is still important to maintain vigilance and implement appropriate fire prevention measures. The local council and emergency services play a crucial role in managing bushfire risk and protecting the community.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · SA CFS · SA SES · Mid Murray Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Waikerie?

The main climate change risks in Waikerie are heatwaves and flooding from the Murray River. Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a significant threat to public health, while flooding can inundate low-lying areas and disrupt infrastructure.

How is the local council preparing for climate change?

The Mid Murray Council is developing climate adaptation plans to address the risks of heatwaves, flooding, and other climate-related impacts. These plans include measures to protect vulnerable populations, upgrade infrastructure, and promote water conservation.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Residents can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors. The local council operates cooling centers during heatwaves to provide relief for those without access to air conditioning.

How can I find out if my property is at risk of flooding?

You can check flood maps on the SA government website or contact the Mid Murray Council to determine if your property is located in a flood-prone area. It is also important to have adequate insurance coverage for flood damage.

What is the long-term outlook for climate change in Waikerie?

Climate change projections indicate that Waikerie will experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, as well as an increased risk of flooding and bushfires. It is essential to take action now to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the changing climate.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections