Is Ellendale, TAS Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment
Climate Safety Score
5.5/10Moderate climate risk — address-specific
Key Facts
- Climate Safety
- Medium
- Flood
- Ellendale faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.
- Bushfire
- Ellendale has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could exacerbate this risk.
- Heat
- Ellendale is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This could pose a risk to vulnerable populations.
- Storm
- Moderate storm risk — westerly wind storms and occasional severe weather
- Postcode
- 7140
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 9.1% of land (extreme wind)
Climate Safety Analysis
Ellendale in Tasmania has an overall climate safety rating of Medium. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.
Key factors affecting Ellendale's climate safety include flood. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.
Climate safety for property in Ellendale is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.
For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Ellendale including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.
Ellendale (postcode 7140) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are extreme wind (9.1% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (7.2% of land in high-risk zones), bushfire (6.1% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Ellendale — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
Minor flooding occurred in low-lying areas of Ellendale due to heavy rainfall.
A prolonged heatwave affected Tasmania, with record temperatures recorded in many areas, including Ellendale.
Heavy rainfall caused flooding in the Derwent Valley, affecting Ellendale and surrounding areas.
Bushfires impacted the region surrounding Ellendale, causing property damage and evacuations.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in flood defenses, such as levees and drainage improvements, to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateDevelop and implement a community bushfire preparedness plan, including evacuation routes and firebreaks.
Est. cost: Low
Heatwave Action Plan
Near-termDevelop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Water Conservation
Long-termImplement water conservation measures to reduce water demand during droughts and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Ellendale Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Ellendale:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Ellendale safe from climate change?
No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Ellendale has an overall Medium climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.
Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Ellendale?
The dominant hazard for Ellendale depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.
How does Ellendale compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?
Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across Tasmania suburbs.
Should I be concerned about buying property in Ellendale?
Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.
What climate projections should I know for Ellendale?
Key projections for Tasmania from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Ellendale.
What share of Ellendale is exposed to high extreme wind risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 9.1% of Ellendale in high-risk zones for extreme wind, with a further 77.1% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Ellendale Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Ellendale, Tasmania, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$69 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections