Is Manly, TAS Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment
Climate Safety Score
5.8/10Moderate climate risk — address-specific
Key Facts
- Climate Safety
- Medium
- Flood
- Manly faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
- Bushfire
- Bushfire risk in Manly is relatively low but present due to nearby bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.
- Heat
- Manly is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
- Storm
- Moderate storm risk — westerly wind storms and occasional severe weather
Climate Safety Analysis
Manly in Tasmania has an overall climate safety rating of Medium. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.
Key factors affecting Manly's climate safety include heat, flood, coastal. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.
Climate safety for property in Manly is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.
For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Manly including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in parts of southern Tasmania.
Tasmania experienced a prolonged heatwave, with record temperatures recorded in some areas.
Bushfires impacted parts of Tasmania, leading to smoke haze in Manly.
Significant flooding occurred in the Derwent Valley, impacting nearby areas.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Improve Home Insulation
Near-termProper insulation can help keep homes cooler in summer and warmer in winter, reducing energy consumption and improving comfort during extreme weather events.
Est. cost: Medium
Install Rainwater Tanks
Near-termRainwater tanks can provide a supplementary water supply for gardens and other non-potable uses, reducing demand on the municipal water supply during droughts and heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Support Local Climate Action Plans
Long-termEngage with local government and community organizations to support the development and implementation of climate action plans that address the specific vulnerabilities of Manly.
Est. cost: Low
Prepare for Heatwaves
ImmediateDevelop a heatwave plan that includes identifying cool places to go, staying hydrated, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Manly Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Manly:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Manly safe from climate change?
No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Manly has an overall Medium climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.
Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Manly?
The dominant hazard for Manly depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.
How does Manly compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?
Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across Tasmania suburbs.
Should I be concerned about buying property in Manly?
Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.
What climate projections should I know for Manly?
Key projections for Tasmania from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Manly.
Is Manly Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Manly, Tasmania, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$69 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections