Is Black Range, VIC Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment

Black Range, Victoria· Northern Grampians Shire
Climate risk is high — address assessment recommendedUpdated 1 June 2026

Climate Safety Score

7.2/10

Climate risk is high — address assessment recommended

Key Facts

Climate Safety
High
Flood
Black Range faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and local creek overflows. The risk is exacerbated by the area's topography and existing drainage infrastructure.
Bushfire
Black Range is at high risk of bushfires due to its proximity to dense vegetation and prevailing dry conditions, especially during summer. The risk is amplified by strong winds and potential lightning strikes.
Heat
Black Range experiences a high risk of heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent extreme heat events. This poses a significant threat to vulnerable populations.
Storm
Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms with hail and damaging winds
Postcode
3381
Highest high-risk exposure
16.1% of land (bushfire)

Climate Safety Analysis

Black Range in Victoria has an overall climate safety rating of High. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Key factors affecting Black Range's climate safety include heat, flood, bushfire. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.

Climate safety for property in Black Range is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.

For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Black Range including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.

Black Range (postcode 3381) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (16.1% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (10.7% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (4.8% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Black Range — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to BushlandAdjacent
BAL OverlayBushfire Prone Area
Nearest WaterwayLocal Creeks
Flood ZoneAreas near creeks
Avg January Max32.5 °C

Historical Events

2023
Minor

Minor flooding occurred due to heavy rainfall, impacting some local roads.

2019
Moderate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in heat stress and health concerns for vulnerable residents.

2013
Moderate

A bushfire near Black Range threatened properties and required evacuations.

2011
Moderate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Implement Bushfire Mitigation Measures

Immediate

Reduce fuel loads around properties, create firebreaks, and improve community awareness of bushfire risks.

Est. cost: Low

Establish Cooling Centers

Near-term

Provide public cooling centers to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water-saving practices to ensure adequate water supply during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Develop Community Emergency Plans

Immediate

Create and regularly update community emergency plans to ensure residents are prepared for various climate-related disasters.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

Northern Grampians Shire
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 1 June 2026

Explore Black Range Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Black Range safe from climate change?

No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Black Range has an overall High climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.

Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Black Range?

The dominant hazard for Black Range depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.

How does Black Range compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?

Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across Victoria suburbs.

Should I be concerned about buying property in Black Range?

Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.

What climate projections should I know for Black Range?

Key projections for Victoria from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Black Range.

What share of Black Range is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 16.1% of Black Range in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 74.5% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Black Range Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Black Range, Victoria, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections