Is Manly, VIC Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment
Climate Safety Score
5.2/10Moderate climate risk — address-specific
Key Facts
- Climate Safety
- Medium
- Flood
- Manly, VIC, faces a moderate risk of flooding. This is due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
- Bushfire
- The bushfire risk in Manly, VIC, is relatively low compared to other regions in Victoria. However, the risk is still present due to nearby grasslands and bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the risk.
- Heat
- Manly, VIC, is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Urban areas tend to amplify the heat effect.
- Storm
- Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms with hail and damaging winds
Climate Safety Analysis
Manly in Victoria has an overall climate safety rating of Medium. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.
Key factors affecting Manly's climate safety include heat, coastal. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.
Climate safety for property in Manly is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.
For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Manly including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas.
A prolonged heatwave resulted in record-breaking temperatures and increased hospital admissions.
A severe storm caused damage to property and infrastructure.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Develop a heatwave response plan
ImmediateCreate a plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.
Est. cost: Low
Improve drainage infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Implement coastal protection measures
Long-termConstruct seawalls and other coastal protection structures to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and storm surges.
Est. cost: High
Promote bushfire preparedness
Near-termEducate residents about bushfire risks and encourage them to develop bushfire survival plans.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Manly Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Manly:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Manly safe from climate change?
No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Manly has an overall Medium climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.
Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Manly?
The dominant hazard for Manly depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.
How does Manly compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?
Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across Victoria suburbs.
Should I be concerned about buying property in Manly?
Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.
What climate projections should I know for Manly?
Key projections for Victoria from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Manly.
Is Manly Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Manly, Victoria, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections