Is Manly, WA Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment
Climate Safety Score
5.8/10Moderate climate risk — address-specific
Key Facts
- Climate Safety
- Medium
- Flood
- Manly faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential coastal inundation. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
- Bushfire
- Manly has a relatively high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.
- Heat
- Manly is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
- Storm
- Moderate storm risk — winter storms and occasional severe thunderstorms
Climate Safety Analysis
Manly in Western Australia has an overall climate safety rating of Medium. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.
Key factors affecting Manly's climate safety include heat, coastal, bushfire. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.
Climate safety for property in Manly is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.
For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Manly including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
A bushfire near the suburb caused evacuations and property damage.
A prolonged heatwave resulted in heat stress and health concerns.
A severe storm caused localized flooding and damage to property.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Develop a heatwave management plan
ImmediateImplement strategies to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Improve bushfire preparedness
Near-termImplement measures to reduce bushfire risk, such as vegetation management and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Invest in coastal protection measures
Long-termImplement strategies to protect coastal areas from sea level rise and erosion, such as building seawalls and restoring natural habitats.
Est. cost: High
Upgrade stormwater drainage systems
Near-termImprove stormwater drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Manly Risk Reports
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Manly safe from climate change?
No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Manly has an overall Medium climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.
Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Manly?
The dominant hazard for Manly depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.
How does Manly compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?
Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across Western Australia suburbs.
Should I be concerned about buying property in Manly?
Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.
What climate projections should I know for Manly?
Key projections for Western Australia from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Manly.
Is Manly Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Manly, Western Australia, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections