Bushfire Risk in Ellerslie, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Ellerslie, New South Wales
The bushfire risk in Ellerslie is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland being more susceptible. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared for bushfire season.Updated 31 May 2026

Bushfire Risk Score

4.0/10

The bushfire risk in Ellerslie is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland being more susceptible. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared for bushfire season.

Key Facts

Bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Ellerslie is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland being more susceptible. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared for bushfire season.
Trend
stable
Suburb
Ellerslie, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2648
Region
Regional NSW
Median property value
$550,000
Dominant hazard
extreme heat (6/10)
Highest high-risk exposure
14.3% of land (bushfire)

Bushfire Risk Analysis

Ellerslie, New South Wales, has a the bushfire risk in ellerslie is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland being more susceptible. residents should maintain their properties and be prepared for bushfire season. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.

Maintain a defensible space around your home and have a bushfire survival plan.

CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Ellerslie, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.

Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Ellerslie including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.

Ellerslie sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 14.3% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 60.6% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Ellerslie.

On ClimateNest's 0–10 suburb hazard index, Ellerslie scores 5 for bushfire risk — a moderate exposure relative to the Australian suburb range. For comparison, properties in Ellerslie can still sit well above or below this suburb average depending on elevation, distance to waterways or vegetation, and local drainage.

Ellerslie located in Regional NSW (postcode 2648), is a New South Wales suburb tracked by ClimateNest. The suburb's median property value is $550,000, and understanding climate exposure is becoming a standard part of due diligence for buyers, lenders and insurers pricing property in Ellerslie.

Across the six hazard axes ClimateNest models, the dominant climate risk in Ellerslie is extreme heat (score 6/10), with moderate exposure. Insurance signals for the suburb point to premiums rising moderately (+25% by 2030). These suburb-level signals help prioritise which properties need the closest look — the actual risk of any single home can only be confirmed with an address-level report.

Whether you are buying, selling or renovating in Ellerslie, extreme heat is the hazard to weigh first. Local council planning controls, state hazard mapping and lender climate policies each reference this kind of suburb-level signal, and property decisions in Ellerslie are increasingly made with an address-level climate report in hand.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to BushlandSome properties border bushland
BAL Overlay / ZoneCheck with the NSW RFS for bushfire prone area maps
Bushfire Prone AreaYes

Historical Events

2013
Minor

A bushfire near Ellerslie caused some concern, but no properties were directly damaged.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Bushfire Risk Reduction

Near-term

Undertake controlled burns and vegetation management to reduce bushfire fuel loads.

Est. cost: Medium

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and how to prepare for emergencies.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

Example Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 31 May 2026

Explore Ellerslie Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Ellerslie in a bushfire prone area?

Parts of Ellerslie may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Ellerslie has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.

What BAL rating applies to properties in Ellerslie?

BAL ratings in Ellerslie depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.

Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Ellerslie?

Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Ellerslie may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.

What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Ellerslie?

Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.

What are the main climate risks in Ellerslie?

ClimateNest's suburb model rates Ellerslie's dominant climate risk as extreme heat at 6/10 on a 0–10 index, followed by bushfire (5/10) and damaging wind (4/10). These are suburb-level averages — an address-level report is needed to confirm the risk of a specific property in Ellerslie.

What share of Ellerslie is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 14.3% of Ellerslie in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 60.6% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Ellerslie Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Ellerslie, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections