Storm Risk in Ellerslie, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Ellerslie, New South Wales
Moderate storm risk — East Coast Lows bring severe weather including hail and damaging windsUpdated 31 May 2026

Storm Risk Score

3.9/10

Moderate storm risk — East Coast Lows bring severe weather including hail and damaging winds

Key Facts

Storm Risk
Moderate storm risk — East Coast Lows bring severe weather including hail and damaging winds
Trend
stable
Suburb
Ellerslie, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2648
Region
Regional NSW
Median property value
$550,000
Dominant hazard
extreme heat (6/10)
Highest high-risk exposure
14.3% of land (bushfire)

Storm Risk Analysis

Ellerslie, New South Wales, has a moderate storm risk profile. This includes exposure to severe thunderstorms, hail, damaging winds, and — in tropical regions — cyclone impacts. The applicable wind region classification under AS/NZS 1170.2 influences building design standards for Ellerslie.

Severe thunderstorms affecting Ellerslie can produce damaging wind gusts, large hail, and intense rainfall. The Bureau of Meteorology issues severe weather warnings for New South Wales, and historical storm data helps characterise the frequency and intensity of events in the region.

CSIRO research indicates that the intensity of severe convective storms — including those producing hail and damaging winds — may increase in a warming climate. For Ellerslie property owners, this reinforces the value of storm-resistant building features and comprehensive insurance.

ClimateNest provides address-level storm risk reports for Ellerslie including wind zone classification, hail risk probability, and property-specific mitigation recommendations based on your building characteristics.

Ellerslie sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for severe storm risk. 0% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk severe storm zones and 84.3% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Ellerslie.

On ClimateNest's 0–10 suburb hazard index, Ellerslie scores 4 for severe storm risk — a moderate exposure relative to the Australian suburb range. For comparison, properties in Ellerslie can still sit well above or below this suburb average depending on elevation, distance to waterways or vegetation, and local drainage.

Ellerslie located in Regional NSW (postcode 2648), is a New South Wales suburb tracked by ClimateNest. The suburb's median property value is $550,000, and understanding climate exposure is becoming a standard part of due diligence for buyers, lenders and insurers pricing property in Ellerslie.

Across the six hazard axes ClimateNest models, the dominant climate risk in Ellerslie is extreme heat (score 6/10), with moderate exposure. Insurance signals for the suburb point to premiums rising moderately (+25% by 2030). These suburb-level signals help prioritise which properties need the closest look — the actual risk of any single home can only be confirmed with an address-level report.

Whether you are buying, selling or renovating in Ellerslie, extreme heat is the hazard to weigh first. Local council planning controls, state hazard mapping and lender climate policies each reference this kind of suburb-level signal, and property decisions in Ellerslie are increasingly made with an address-level climate report in hand.

Local Hazard Evidence

Wind/Storm RegionNot applicable
Storm Risk LevelNot applicable
Distance to Coast50 km

Historical Events

2020
Minor

A severe storm caused some localized flooding and power outages in Ellerslie.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Bushfire Risk Reduction

Near-term

Undertake controlled burns and vegetation management to reduce bushfire fuel loads.

Est. cost: Medium

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and how to prepare for emergencies.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

Example Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 31 May 2026

Explore Ellerslie Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Ellerslie prone to hailstorms?

Hail risk in Ellerslie depends on the frequency of severe thunderstorm activity in the New South Wales region. BOM tracks severe storm events including hail. Property-specific risk depends on roof design, building orientation, and local storm patterns.

What wind rating applies to buildings in Ellerslie?

Under AS/NZS 1170.2, properties in Ellerslie are assigned a wind region classification. This rating determines structural design requirements for new buildings. Check with ClimateNest or a structural engineer for your property's classification.

Does storm risk affect insurance premiums in Ellerslie?

Yes, storm damage — including wind, hail, and rain ingress — is one of the most common insurance claims in Australia. Properties in higher wind zones or with greater hail exposure may face higher premiums or specific policy conditions.

What storm mitigation measures should Ellerslie property owners consider?

Storm mitigation includes impact-resistant roofing, cyclone-rated fixings where required, window and door shutters, regular roof and gutter maintenance, securing outdoor items, and ensuring compliance with current wind load standards under the National Construction Code.

What are the main climate risks in Ellerslie?

ClimateNest's suburb model rates Ellerslie's dominant climate risk as extreme heat at 6/10 on a 0–10 index, followed by bushfire (5/10) and damaging wind (4/10). These are suburb-level averages — an address-level report is needed to confirm the risk of a specific property in Ellerslie.

What share of Ellerslie is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 14.3% of Ellerslie in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 60.6% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Ellerslie Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Ellerslie, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections