Heat Risk in Ellerslie, NSW: 2026 Assessment
Heat Risk Score
6.0/10Ellerslie experiences a moderate risk from heatwaves, especially during the summer months. Vulnerable populations should take precautions during extreme heat events.
Key Facts
- Heat Risk
- Ellerslie experiences a moderate risk from heatwaves, especially during the summer months. Vulnerable populations should take precautions during extreme heat events.
- Trend
- increasing
- Suburb
- Ellerslie, NSW
- Overall Risk
- Medium
- Postcode
- 2648
- Region
- Regional NSW
- Median property value
- $550,000
- Dominant hazard
- extreme heat (6/10)
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 14.3% of land (bushfire)
Heat Risk Analysis
Ellerslie in New South Wales faces elevated extreme heat risk. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) reports that Australia's average temperature has increased by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with the frequency of extreme heat days rising across most regions.
The urban heat island (UHI) effect can make built-up areas of Ellerslie warmer than surrounding rural areas, particularly on summer nights. Dark roof materials, limited tree canopy cover, and heat-absorbing surfaces contribute to localised heat stress that varies by property.
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.
Get an address-level heat risk assessment from ClimateNest for Ellerslie including cooling cost estimates, heatwave vulnerability scoring, and adaptation recommendations tailored to your property.
Climate projections show heat risk in Ellerslie is tied to the broader Regional NSW climate. The suburb scores 6 on the 0–10 heat index, with the number of days above 35°C expected to grow through 2050 — a factor that affects cooling costs, garden viability and property desirability.
Ellerslie located in Regional NSW (postcode 2648), is a New South Wales suburb tracked by ClimateNest. The suburb's median property value is $550,000, and understanding climate exposure is becoming a standard part of due diligence for buyers, lenders and insurers pricing property in Ellerslie.
Across the six hazard axes ClimateNest models, the dominant climate risk in Ellerslie is extreme heat (score 6/10), with moderate exposure. Insurance signals for the suburb point to premiums rising moderately (+25% by 2030). These suburb-level signals help prioritise which properties need the closest look — the actual risk of any single home can only be confirmed with an address-level report.
Whether you are buying, selling or renovating in Ellerslie, extreme heat is the hazard to weigh first. Local council planning controls, state hazard mapping and lender climate policies each reference this kind of suburb-level signal, and property decisions in Ellerslie are increasingly made with an address-level climate report in hand.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
A prolonged heatwave affected the region, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Develop a Heatwave Management Plan
ImmediateImplement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Bushfire Risk Reduction
Near-termUndertake controlled burns and vegetation management to reduce bushfire fuel loads.
Est. cost: Medium
Community Awareness Programs
Long-termEducate residents about climate risks and how to prepare for emergencies.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Ellerslie Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Ellerslie:
Frequently Asked Questions
How hot does Ellerslie get in summer?
Ellerslie in New South Wales experiences summer temperatures consistent with the regional climate. BOM publishes historical temperature data for weather stations near Ellerslie. Get a property-specific heat exposure assessment with projected cooling costs from ClimateNest.
Is extreme heat increasing in Ellerslie?
Australia-wide, extreme heat events have become more frequent since the mid-20th century, and this trend is consistent with CSIRO climate projections for New South Wales. Continued warming is likely through 2050 under all emissions scenarios.
How does heat affect energy costs for Ellerslie properties?
Higher temperatures increase cooling demand, which raises electricity costs. ClimateNest provides energy cost projections based on your property's specific exposure to extreme heat days in Ellerslie and the performance of your building envelope.
What heat mitigation measures work best in Ellerslie?
Effective heat mitigation includes light-coloured roofing (cool roofs), ceiling and wall insulation, double-glazed windows, external shading, cross-ventilation design, and increasing tree canopy around the property. These measures reduce indoor temperatures and cooling costs.
What are the main climate risks in Ellerslie?
ClimateNest's suburb model rates Ellerslie's dominant climate risk as extreme heat at 6/10 on a 0–10 index, followed by bushfire (5/10) and damaging wind (4/10). These are suburb-level averages — an address-level report is needed to confirm the risk of a specific property in Ellerslie.
What share of Ellerslie is exposed to high bushfire risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 14.3% of Ellerslie in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 60.6% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Ellerslie Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Ellerslie, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$69 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections