Bushfire Risk in Upper Manilla, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Upper Manilla, New South Wales· UNKNOWN
The risk of bushfires in Upper Manilla is moderate, given the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could exacerbate bushfire risk.Updated 26 May 2026

Bushfire Risk Score

4.0/10

The risk of bushfires in Upper Manilla is moderate, given the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could exacerbate bushfire risk.

Key Facts

Bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfires in Upper Manilla is moderate, given the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could exacerbate bushfire risk.
Trend
increasing
Suburb
Upper Manilla, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2346
Highest high-risk exposure
7.6% of land (bushfire)

Bushfire Risk Analysis

Upper Manilla, New South Wales, has a the risk of bushfires in upper manilla is moderate, given the surrounding bushland. drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could exacerbate bushfire risk. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.

Residents should maintain firebreaks and have a bushfire survival plan.

CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Upper Manilla, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.

Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Upper Manilla including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.

Upper Manilla sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 7.6% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 69.4% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Upper Manilla.

Upper Manilla (postcode 2346) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (7.6% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (5.3% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (5.2% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Upper Manilla — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to BushlandAdjacent to bushland areas.
BAL Overlay / ZoneRefer to NSW RFS for bushfire prone area maps.
Bushfire Prone AreaYes

Historical Events

2019
Moderate

Bushfires in the region caused property damage and evacuations.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood barriers to protect properties from increased flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Develop a Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a community heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Provide residents with resources and training to prepare for bushfires, including creating firebreaks and developing evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Low

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to mitigate the impacts of drought and water scarcity associated with climate change.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

Tamworth Regional Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 26 May 2026

Explore Upper Manilla Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Upper Manilla in a bushfire prone area?

Parts of Upper Manilla may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Upper Manilla has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.

What BAL rating applies to properties in Upper Manilla?

BAL ratings in Upper Manilla depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.

Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Upper Manilla?

Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Upper Manilla may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.

What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Upper Manilla?

Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.

What share of Upper Manilla is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 7.6% of Upper Manilla in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 69.4% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Upper Manilla Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Upper Manilla, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections