Bushfire Risk in Upper Manilla, NSW: 2026 Assessment
Bushfire Risk Score
4.0/10The risk of bushfires in Upper Manilla is moderate, given the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could exacerbate bushfire risk.
Key Facts
- Bushfire Risk
- The risk of bushfires in Upper Manilla is moderate, given the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could exacerbate bushfire risk.
- Trend
- increasing
- Suburb
- Upper Manilla, NSW
- Overall Risk
- Medium
- Postcode
- 2346
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 7.6% of land (bushfire)
Bushfire Risk Analysis
Upper Manilla, New South Wales, has a the risk of bushfires in upper manilla is moderate, given the surrounding bushland. drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could exacerbate bushfire risk. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.
Residents should maintain firebreaks and have a bushfire survival plan.
CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Upper Manilla, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.
Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Upper Manilla including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.
Upper Manilla sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 7.6% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 69.4% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Upper Manilla.
Upper Manilla (postcode 2346) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (7.6% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (5.3% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (5.2% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Upper Manilla — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
Bushfires in the region caused property damage and evacuations.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termUpgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood barriers to protect properties from increased flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Develop a Heat Action Plan
ImmediateImplement a community heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Enhance Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termProvide residents with resources and training to prepare for bushfires, including creating firebreaks and developing evacuation plans.
Est. cost: Low
Promote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation measures to mitigate the impacts of drought and water scarcity associated with climate change.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Upper Manilla Risk Reports
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Upper Manilla in a bushfire prone area?
Parts of Upper Manilla may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Upper Manilla has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.
What BAL rating applies to properties in Upper Manilla?
BAL ratings in Upper Manilla depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.
Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Upper Manilla?
Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Upper Manilla may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.
What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Upper Manilla?
Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.
What share of Upper Manilla is exposed to high bushfire risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 7.6% of Upper Manilla in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 69.4% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Upper Manilla Safe from Climate Risk?
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