Storm Risk in Upper Manilla, NSW: 2026 Assessment
Storm Risk Score
3.9/10Moderate storm risk — East Coast Lows bring severe weather including hail and damaging winds
Key Facts
- Storm Risk
- Moderate storm risk — East Coast Lows bring severe weather including hail and damaging winds
- Trend
- stable
- Suburb
- Upper Manilla, NSW
- Overall Risk
- Medium
- Postcode
- 2346
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 7.6% of land (bushfire)
Storm Risk Analysis
Upper Manilla, New South Wales, has a moderate storm risk profile. This includes exposure to severe thunderstorms, hail, damaging winds, and — in tropical regions — cyclone impacts. The applicable wind region classification under AS/NZS 1170.2 influences building design standards for Upper Manilla.
Severe thunderstorms affecting Upper Manilla can produce damaging wind gusts, large hail, and intense rainfall. The Bureau of Meteorology issues severe weather warnings for New South Wales, and historical storm data helps characterise the frequency and intensity of events in the region.
CSIRO research indicates that the intensity of severe convective storms — including those producing hail and damaging winds — may increase in a warming climate. For Upper Manilla property owners, this reinforces the value of storm-resistant building features and comprehensive insurance.
ClimateNest provides address-level storm risk reports for Upper Manilla including wind zone classification, hail risk probability, and property-specific mitigation recommendations based on your building characteristics.
Upper Manilla sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for severe storm risk. 0% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk severe storm zones and 75.7% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Upper Manilla.
Upper Manilla (postcode 2346) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (7.6% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (5.3% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (5.2% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Upper Manilla — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.
Local Hazard Evidence
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termUpgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood barriers to protect properties from increased flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Develop a Heat Action Plan
ImmediateImplement a community heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Enhance Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termProvide residents with resources and training to prepare for bushfires, including creating firebreaks and developing evacuation plans.
Est. cost: Low
Promote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation measures to mitigate the impacts of drought and water scarcity associated with climate change.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Upper Manilla Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Upper Manilla:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Upper Manilla prone to hailstorms?
Hail risk in Upper Manilla depends on the frequency of severe thunderstorm activity in the New South Wales region. BOM tracks severe storm events including hail. Property-specific risk depends on roof design, building orientation, and local storm patterns.
What wind rating applies to buildings in Upper Manilla?
Under AS/NZS 1170.2, properties in Upper Manilla are assigned a wind region classification. This rating determines structural design requirements for new buildings. Check with ClimateNest or a structural engineer for your property's classification.
Does storm risk affect insurance premiums in Upper Manilla?
Yes, storm damage — including wind, hail, and rain ingress — is one of the most common insurance claims in Australia. Properties in higher wind zones or with greater hail exposure may face higher premiums or specific policy conditions.
What storm mitigation measures should Upper Manilla property owners consider?
Storm mitigation includes impact-resistant roofing, cyclone-rated fixings where required, window and door shutters, regular roof and gutter maintenance, securing outdoor items, and ensuring compliance with current wind load standards under the National Construction Code.
What share of Upper Manilla is exposed to high bushfire risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 7.6% of Upper Manilla in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 69.4% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Upper Manilla Safe from Climate Risk?
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