Climate Risk Profile: Burpengary, QLD
Burpengary faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly through increased rainfall intensity, hotter temperatures, and sea level rise. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Burpengary
Flood
Burpengary faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Burpengary has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Burpengary is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Burpengary faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to Moreton Bay. Sea level rise and storm surges are expected to increase coastal erosion and inundation.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Wind
Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields
Storm
Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms
Social
Moderate social stability — growth regions
Energy
Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Burpengary
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Burpengary is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.5
2050
8.0
flood Risk
Burpengary faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.0
coastal Risk
Burpengary faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to Moreton Bay. Sea level rise and storm surges are expected to increase coastal erosion and inundation.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
- ·Coastal erosion
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
5.5
2050
6.0
bushfire Risk
Burpengary has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.5
2050
5.0
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to increased climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone or bushfire-prone areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage.
- 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Burpengary Creek
- Elevation Range
- 5-20 meters
- Flood Zone
- Medium
Several areas within Burpengary are identified as flood zones by the Moreton Bay Regional Council.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent to large areas of bushland to the west.
- Planning Overlay
- Qld Fire and Emergency Services Bushfire Prone Area Map
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
The western parts of Burpengary are designated as bushfire prone areas.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 31.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 5 days
Average January maximum temperature is increasing, with more frequent heat stress events.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 8 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Low to Moderate
- Erosion Risk
- Low
Historical Climate Events
The 2011 Brisbane floods affected Burpengary, causing widespread inundation and damage.
SourceRecord-breaking heatwave conditions affected Burpengary, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius.
SourceMajor flooding event impacted Burpengary, causing significant damage to homes and infrastructure.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 60 | 6.5(+0.5) | 7.0(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 40 | 4.3(+0.3) | 4.7(+0.7) |
| heat | 70 | 7.7(+0.7) | 8.2(+1.2) |
| coastal | 50 | 5.4(+0.4) | 5.8(+0.8) |
By 2030, Burpengary is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in heatwave frequency and intensity. Flooding and coastal hazards are also expected to worsen.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees, drainage improvements, and flood-proofing of buildings.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreBushfire Mitigation
Near-termImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as fuel reduction burns, fire breaks, and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Preparedness
ImmediateDevelop heatwave preparedness plans, including cooling centers, public awareness campaigns, and support for vulnerable populations.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCoastal Protection
Long-termImplement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls, beach nourishment, and managed retreat from vulnerable areas.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreCommunity Education
Near-termRaise community awareness about climate risks and adaptation measures through workshops, information sessions, and online resources.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Burpengary's Climate Risk Profile
Burpengary, located in the Moreton Bay region of Queensland, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards. Its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways make it vulnerable to flooding, while surrounding bushland increases the risk of bushfires. The suburb is also likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change.
Flooding is a significant concern for Burpengary, with potential for increased rainfall intensity leading to more frequent and severe flood events. Sea level rise and storm surges also pose a threat to coastal areas. Bushfire risk is also expected to increase due to hotter, drier conditions and increased fuel load.
Heatwaves are becoming more common and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can further exacerbate heat stress in built-up areas. Coastal hazards, such as erosion and inundation, are also expected to increase due to sea level rise and storm surges.
Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including improved infrastructure, community education, and adaptation measures. Residents should take steps to prepare for extreme weather events and reduce their carbon footprint. Local governance plays a crucial role in implementing climate strategies and ensuring community resilience.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Queensland Fire and Emergency Services · Moreton Bay Regional Council
Local Government Resources
Moreton Bay Regional Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Burpengary?
Burpengary faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events.
How will climate change affect property values in Burpengary?
Properties in flood-prone or bushfire-prone areas may experience price reductions. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Burpengary?
The Moreton Bay Regional Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation plans to mitigate the risks of climate change.
How can I prepare my home for extreme weather events?
You can flood-proof your home, clear vegetation around your property, and develop a heatwave preparedness plan.
Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Burpengary?
You can find more information on the Moreton Bay Regional Council website, the Bureau of Meteorology website, and the Queensland Fire and Emergency Services website.
What is the projected increase in average temperatures for Burpengary by 2050?
Under a high emissions scenario, average temperatures in Burpengary are projected to increase by 1.5 to 2.5 degrees Celsius by 2050.
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