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Climate Risk in Gracemere, Queensland

Gracemere, Queensland· Rockhampton· 4702
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Gracemere faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Gracemere

increasing

Flood

65/100

Gracemere faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
increasing

Bushfire

42/100

Gracemere has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Gracemere is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Gracemere is located inland and has a low risk of coastal hazards.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Gracemere

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Gracemere is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Gracemere faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Low-lying topography

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Gracemere is located inland and has a low risk of coastal hazards.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

Gracemere has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Surrounding vegetation

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Fitzroy River
Elevation Range
10-30m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Fitzroy River are prone to flooding.

Historical flood events have impacted Gracemere, highlighting the need for ongoing monitoring and mitigation efforts.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland areas.
Planning Overlay
Refer to Queensland Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain firebreaks and be aware of fire danger ratings.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Elderly and vulnerable residents are particularly at risk during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
40 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodMajor

Major flooding impacted Gracemere, causing significant damage to property and infrastructure.

Source
2011
floodMajor

Widespread flooding across Queensland, including Gracemere, resulted in evacuations and significant disruption.

Source
2018
bushfireModerate

Bushfires near Gracemere threatened properties and required emergency response.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions impacted Gracemere, placing stress on vulnerable populations.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire424.5(+0.3)4.9(+0.7)
heat707.7(+0.7)8.5(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Gracemere is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and heatwave risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in flood barriers and drainage improvements to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation

Immediate

Clear vegetation around homes and develop a bushfire survival plan.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness

Near-term

Install air conditioning and ensure access to cooling centers during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Education

Long-term

Promote community awareness of climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Gracemere's Climate Risk Profile

Gracemere, located near Rockhampton in Queensland, is susceptible to several climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to its proximity to waterways, bushfires due to surrounding vegetation, and increasing heatwave frequency and intensity.

Climate change projections indicate that Gracemere will experience higher average temperatures and more extreme rainfall events. This will likely lead to increased flood risk, more intense bushfire seasons, and more frequent heatwaves, impacting the health and well-being of residents.

The local council and emergency services are working to mitigate these risks through improved infrastructure, bushfire management strategies, and community awareness programs. However, individual preparedness is also crucial to ensure the safety and resilience of the community.

Homeowners should consider measures to protect their properties from flooding and bushfires, such as installing flood barriers, clearing vegetation around homes, and developing emergency plans. Staying informed about weather forecasts and warnings is also essential for making timely decisions during extreme weather events.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Queensland Fire and Emergency Services · Rockhampton Regional Council

Local Government Resources

Rockhampton Regional Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Gracemere?

Gracemere faces risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change.

How can I protect my property from flooding in Gracemere?

Consider installing flood barriers, improving drainage, and elevating vulnerable equipment.

What should I do to prepare for a bushfire in Gracemere?

Clear vegetation around your home, develop a bushfire survival plan, and stay informed about fire danger ratings.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Gracemere?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Gracemere?

Consult the Rockhampton Regional Council website, the Bureau of Meteorology, and CSIRO for climate projections and adaptation strategies.

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