Bushfire Risk in Modbury, SA: 2026 Assessment

Modbury, South Australia· UNKNOWN
The risk of bushfire in Modbury is relatively low compared to other areas in South Australia, but still present due to proximity to some vegetated areas. Grassfires are a more common concern.Updated 22 Mar 2026

Bushfire Risk Score

3.0/10

The risk of bushfire in Modbury is relatively low compared to other areas in South Australia, but still present due to proximity to some vegetated areas. Grassfires are a more common concern.

Key Facts

Bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Modbury is relatively low compared to other areas in South Australia, but still present due to proximity to some vegetated areas. Grassfires are a more common concern.
Trend
stable
Suburb
Modbury, SA
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
5092
Highest high-risk exposure
12% of land (bushfire)

Bushfire Risk Analysis

Modbury, South Australia, has a the risk of bushfire in modbury is relatively low compared to other areas in south australia, but still present due to proximity to some vegetated areas. grassfires are a more common concern. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The South Australia fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.

Grassfires can pose a risk in the surrounding areas during dry periods.

CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Modbury, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.

Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Modbury including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.

Modbury sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 12% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 66.6% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Modbury.

Modbury (postcode 5092) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (12% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (6.8% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (5.6% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Modbury — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to Bushland2km to Cobbler Creek Recreation Park
BAL Overlay / ZoneCheck the CFS website for current fire danger ratings.
Bushfire Prone AreaNo

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade and maintain local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Implement heatwave early warning systems

Immediate

Develop and implement heatwave early warning systems to alert vulnerable populations and provide guidance on protective measures.

Est. cost: Low

Promote energy efficiency and cool roofs

Near-term

Encourage the adoption of energy-efficient building designs and cool roof technologies to reduce the urban heat island effect and lower energy consumption.

Est. cost: Medium

Community education on emergency preparedness

Long-term

Provide community education programs on how to prepare for and respond to heatwaves, floods, and other climate-related hazards.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

City of Tea Tree Gully
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 22 March 2026

Explore Modbury Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Modbury in a bushfire prone area?

Parts of Modbury may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Modbury has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.

What BAL rating applies to properties in Modbury?

BAL ratings in Modbury depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.

Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Modbury?

Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Modbury may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.

What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Modbury?

Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the South Australia fire authority for property-specific guidance.

What share of Modbury is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 12% of Modbury in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 66.6% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Modbury Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Modbury, South Australia, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections