📮 Clontarf postcode: 4019

Is Clontarf, QLD Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment

Clontarf, Queensland· Moreton Bay· 4019
Moderate climate risk — address-specificUpdated 26 Mar 2026

Climate Safety Score

5.8/10

Moderate climate risk — address-specific

Key Facts

Climate Safety
Medium
Flood
Clontarf is located in a low-lying coastal area and is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and storm surges. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
Bushfire
Clontarf has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its coastal location and limited vegetation. However, some areas near parks and reserves may be at slightly higher risk.
Heat
Clontarf experiences hot summers, and the risk of heatwaves is expected to increase with climate change. This can pose a health risk to vulnerable populations.
Storm
Notable storm risk — tropical cyclones and severe thunderstorms in summer months
Postcode
4019
Highest high-risk exposure
18.3% of land (bushfire)

Climate Safety Analysis

Clontarf in Queensland has an overall climate safety rating of Medium. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Key factors affecting Clontarf's climate safety include heat, flood, coastal. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.

Climate safety for property in Clontarf is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.

For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Clontarf including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.

Clontarf (postcode 4019) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (18.3% of land in high-risk zones), extreme wind (11.5% of land in high-risk zones), tropical cyclone (11.5% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Clontarf — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to Bushland1-5km
BAL OverlayQFES Bushfire Prone Area Map
Nearest WaterwayMoreton Bay
Flood ZoneCoastal and Riverine
Avg January Max30.5 °C

Historical Events

2023
Moderate

Severe storm with strong winds and heavy rainfall caused localized flooding and damage.

2022
Major

Major flooding event caused significant damage in Clontarf and surrounding areas.

2013
Moderate

Severe flooding impacted Clontarf due to ex-Tropical Cyclone Oswald.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Upgrade stormwater drainage

Near-term

Improve stormwater drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding from heavy rainfall.

Est. cost: High

Construct coastal defenses

Long-term

Build seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect against sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: Very High

Implement heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Promote green infrastructure

Near-term

Increase green spaces and tree cover to reduce the urban heat island effect and improve stormwater management.

Est. cost: Medium

Council & Emergency Services

Moreton Bay Regional Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 26 March 2026

Explore Clontarf Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Clontarf safe from climate change?

No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Clontarf has an overall Medium climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.

Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Clontarf?

The dominant hazard for Clontarf depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.

How does Clontarf compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?

Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across Queensland suburbs.

Should I be concerned about buying property in Clontarf?

Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.

What climate projections should I know for Clontarf?

Key projections for Queensland from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Clontarf.

What share of Clontarf is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 18.3% of Clontarf in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 72% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Clontarf Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Clontarf, Queensland, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections