📮 Rosebud postcode: 3939

Bushfire Risk in Rosebud, VIC: 2026 Assessment

Rosebud, Victoria· Mornington Peninsula· 3939
Rosebud has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.Updated 1 Apr 2026

Bushfire Risk Score

4.0/10

Rosebud has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key Facts

Bushfire Risk
Rosebud has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Trend
stable
Suburb
Rosebud, VIC
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
3939
Highest high-risk exposure
11.9% of land (surface flood)

Bushfire Risk Analysis

Rosebud, Victoria, has a rosebud has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. hot, dry summers and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The Victoria fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.

Areas bordering Arthurs Seat State Park are designated as bushfire prone.

CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Rosebud, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.

Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Rosebud including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.

Rosebud sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 6.4% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 84.8% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Rosebud.

Rosebud (postcode 3939) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are surface flood (11.9% of land in high-risk zones), bushfire (6.4% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (5.4% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Rosebud — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to BushlandAdjacent to Arthurs Seat State Park
BAL Overlay / ZoneBushfire Management Overlay
Bushfire Prone AreaYes

Historical Events

1983
Major

Ash Wednesday bushfires impacted the Mornington Peninsula, with significant smoke and ember attacks affecting Rosebud.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding from heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Strengthen coastal defenses

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and dune restoration, to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: High

Develop a heatwave response plan

Immediate

Create a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Reduce bushfire risk

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as fuel reduction burns and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Council & Emergency Services

Mornington Peninsula Shire Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 1 April 2026

Explore Rosebud Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Rosebud in a bushfire prone area?

Parts of Rosebud may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Rosebud has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.

What BAL rating applies to properties in Rosebud?

BAL ratings in Rosebud depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.

Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Rosebud?

Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Rosebud may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.

What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Rosebud?

Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the Victoria fire authority for property-specific guidance.

What share of Rosebud is exposed to high surface flood risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 11.9% of Rosebud in high-risk zones for surface flood, with a further 60.9% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Rosebud Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Rosebud, Victoria, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections