Climate Risk in Victoria Suburbs
Victorian suburbs face significant bushfire risk in outer-metro and Dandenong Ranges communities, with flood risk concentrated in low-lying Melbourne suburbs along the Yarra, Maribyrnong, and Werribee catchments. Extreme heat events are increasing in frequency across the state.
Tanjil South
Baw Baw Shire Council
Tanjil South, Victoria, faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with a lower but present risk of bushfires.
Tanjil Bren
Baw Baw Shire Council
Tanjil Bren faces significant bushfire and flood risks due to its location within dense forests and proximity to waterways.
Sassafras
UNKNOWN
Sassafras, Victoria, faces significant climate risks, particularly from bushfires and flooding due to its location in the Dandenong Ranges.
Sulky
Pyrenees Shire
Sulky, Victoria, faces significant risks from bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves.
Scotchmans Lead
City of Ballarat
Scotchmans Lead faces a medium overall climate risk, primarily driven by significant bushfire threats and increasing flood and heat risks.
Scotsburn
Shire of Baw Baw
Scotsburn, located in Victoria's Shire of Baw Baw, faces a medium overall climate risk, primarily driven by a high bushfire risk and a moderate flood risk.
Silverleaves
Greater Bendigo City Council
Silverleaves, VIC, faces a medium overall climate risk, primarily driven by significant bushfire and heatwave threats.
Smiths Beach
Bass Coast Shire Council
Smiths Beach, Victoria, faces significant climate risks, particularly from coastal hazards and bushfires.
Sorrento
Mornington Peninsula
Sorrento faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly coastal erosion, bushfires, and heatwaves.
St Helena
City of Banyule
St Helena in Victoria faces a significant bushfire and heat risk, with moderate flood potential.
Stratford
Wellington
Stratford is a town in Victoria that faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves.
Sunset Strip
Bass Coast Shire Council
Sunset Strip faces a medium overall climate risk, driven significantly by high coastal and heat risks.
Templestowe
UNKNOWN
Templestowe faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Traralgon
Latrobe City
Traralgon faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Seymour
Mitchell
Seymour faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Shady Creek
Gippsland Shire Council
Shady Creek, Victoria, faces a moderate overall climate risk, primarily driven by a significant bushfire threat due to its location within a bushfire-prone area.
Somerville
Mornington Peninsula
Somerville is a suburb in Victoria that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding and heatwaves.
South Dudley
Bass Coast Shire Council
South Dudley, Victoria, faces a moderate overall climate risk, primarily driven by bushfire threats due to its proximity to natural vegetation.
St Clair
City of Brimbank
St Clair in Victoria faces a medium overall climate risk, primarily driven by significant heat risks due to urbanisation and limited green space.
Summerlands
Bass Coast Shire Council
Summerlands faces a medium overall climate risk, with significant threats from bushfire and coastal hazards.
Sunderland Bay
Bass Coast Shire Council
Sunderland Bay faces significant coastal risks, including erosion and inundation, exacerbated by sea level rise and increased storm intensity.
Surf Beach
Bass Coast Shire Council
Surf Beach faces a medium overall climate risk, with significant threats from coastal erosion and inundation due to its beachfront location.
Swan Hill
UNKNOWN
Swan Hill faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves.
Tenby Point
Bass Coast Shire Council
Tenby Point faces a medium overall climate risk, primarily driven by significant heat and coastal hazards.
Tetoora Road
City of Monash
Tetoora Road faces a medium overall climate risk, primarily driven by significant heat stress and increasing flood potential.
The Gurdies
Bass Coast Shire Council
The Gurdies, VIC, faces a significant bushfire risk due to its surrounding vegetation and a moderate risk from flooding and heatwaves.
Thomson
City of Greater Geelong
Thomson, VIC, faces a moderate overall climate risk, with significant concerns around heatwaves and a notable flood risk due to its proximity to the Barwon River.
Thorpdale South
South Gippsland Shire Council
Thorpdale South faces a medium overall climate risk, primarily driven by increasing heatwave intensity and moderate flood risks.
Thorpdale
South Gippsland Shire Council
Thorpdale, Victoria, faces a medium overall climate risk, with significant threats from heatwaves and a moderate risk from bushfires.
Torwood
Moorabool Shire Council
Torwood, Victoria, faces a moderate overall climate risk, primarily driven by a significant bushfire threat due to its proximity to natural vegetation.
Trafalgar East
Baw Baw Shire Council
Trafalgar East in Victoria faces a moderate overall climate risk, with bushfire posing the most significant threat due to its location near extensive bushland.
Trafalgar South
Baw Baw Shire Council
Trafalgar South in Victoria faces moderate to high risks from flooding and heatwaves, with increasing trends due to climate change.
Trafalgar
Latrobe City
Trafalgar, Victoria, faces a medium overall climate risk, with significant bushfire and moderate flood and heat risks.
Trida
Pyrenees Shire Council
Trida, Victoria, faces a moderate to high climate risk, primarily driven by increasing bushfire and heatwave threats.
Seaford
Frankston
Seaford faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards.
Sebastopol
UNKNOWN
Sebastopol faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with climate change expected to exacerbate these threats.
Selwyn
Selwyn faces increasing risks from heatwaves and flooding due to climate change.
Shepparton
UNKNOWN
Shepparton faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Smoko
Alpine
Smoko, Victoria, faces moderate climate risks, particularly from bushfires and flooding.
Smythes Creek
City of Ballarat
Smythes Creek faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves.
Soldiers Hill
City of Greater Bendigo
Soldiers Hill faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change.
St Arnaud
Northern Grampians Shire
St Arnaud faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present.
Stavely
Ararat Rural City
Stavely faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.
Stawell
UNKNOWN
Stawell faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.
Strathfieldsaye
City of Greater Bendigo
Strathfieldsaye faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change.
Streatham
Pyrenees Shire
Streatham is a rural town in Victoria that faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves.
Sunbury
Hume
Sunbury faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present.
Tatura
Greater Shepparton
Tatura faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves.
Tatyoon
Ararat
Tatyoon faces moderate risks from bushfires, heatwaves and flooding.
Tawonga South
Alpine
Tawonga South faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change.
Tawonga
Alpine
Tawonga faces moderate risks from flooding and bushfires, with increasing heat risk.
Torquay
Surf Coast
Torquay faces a medium risk from climate change impacts.
Tourello
Hepburn
Tourello faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change.
Truganina
Wyndham
Truganina faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to flooding and heatwaves.
Upper Gundowring
Towong Shire
Upper Gundowring faces moderate risks from flooding and bushfires, with increasing heat risk due to climate change.
South Yarra
Assessment in progress
Springvale
Assessment in progress
St Kilda
Assessment in progress
Tarneit
Assessment in progress
Toorak
Assessment in progress
About Climate Risk in Victoria
Victorian suburbs face significant bushfire risk in outer-metro and Dandenong Ranges communities, with flood risk concentrated in low-lying Melbourne suburbs along the Yarra, Maribyrnong, and Werribee catchments. Extreme heat events are increasing in frequency across the state.
ClimateNest suburb assessments are built using Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) historical hazard data, CSIRO future climate projections under SSP2-4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, state-specific hazard overlays from emergency services and planning authorities, and actuarial data. Every assessment includes current hazard scores (0–100), projected scores for 2030 and 2050, local geographic evidence, insurance outlook, and property owner recommendations.
All Victoria Suburbs (478)
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